Armenia Premier League
SardarapatHomeDLWDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
FC UrartuAwayWDWDL262351
Sardarapat winDrawFC Urartu win
SardarapatHomeDLWDDFC UrartuAwayWDWDL- Kick-off Thu 22 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.99 1.21 : 1.78
- Favourite
- 51% FC Urartu
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 59% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Sardarapat vs FC Urartu odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.69 | 3.62 | 1.78 | 1.64 | 2.08 | 1.59 | 2.17 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Urartu to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Sardarapat vs FC Urartu prediction: Sardarapat 3.69 (1xBet), draw 3.62 (1xBet), FC Urartu 1.78 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.64 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.08 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (1xBet) and no 2.17 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
51%
Our prediction
FC Urartu to win
Double chanceSardarapat or FC Urartu (no draw)
77% chance1.20
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.64
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Urartu, full-time FC Urartu
32% chance3.16fair
Sardarapat vs FC Urartu prediction
Our Sardarapat vs FC Urartu prediction and pick
Sardarapat vs FC Urartu prediction for the Armenia Premier League on Thursday, 22 October 2026: the model makes FC Urartu a narrow favourite at 51%, with the draw at 23% and Sardarapat at 26%.
The goal expectancy is 2.99 in total, split 1.21 to Sardarapat and 1.78 to FC Urartu. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 59%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is fC Urartu to win at 51%. At 1.78 with 1xBet the market prices it at 56%, against 51% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sardarapat vs FC Urartu.
For a safer line, sardarapat or FC Urartu (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes at 1.20.
Form check: Sardarapat have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 9 conceded, FC Urartu 2 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Sardarapat vs FC Urartu
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.64 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 59%: Sardarapat find the net in 70% of simulated matches and FC Urartu in 83%. Sardarapat keep a clean sheet 17% of the time and FC Urartu 30%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sardarapat vs FC Urartu: 1-1 (10.8%), 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9%).
With the top scoreline at 10.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sardarapat vs FC Urartu; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time FC Urartu, full-time FC Urartu is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
Every market for Sardarapat vs FC Urartu
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 26% / 23% / 51% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sardarapat to win26%3.69
Draw23%3.62
FC Urartu to win51%1.78
Sardarapat, draw no bet34%fair 2.95
FC Urartu, draw no bet66%fair 1.51
Double chance
Sardarapat or draw49%1.83
FC Urartu or draw74%1.19
Sardarapat or FC Urartu (no draw)77%1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.64
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.85
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.46
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.98
Under 2.5 goals43%2.08
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.54
BTTS
Both teams to score59%1.59
Not both teams to score41%2.17
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.57
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Sardarapat to score70%fair 1.42
FC Urartu to score83%fair 1.20
Sardarapat clean sheet17%fair 5.92
FC Urartu clean sheet30%fair 3.36
Sardarapat to win to nil16%fair 6.45
FC Urartu to win to nil27%fair 3.65
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.8%
1-29.6%
0-19%
0-28%
2-16.6%
1-06.1%
Half-time / full-time
FC Urartu / FC Urartu31.6%
Draw / FC Urartu16.2%
Sardarapat / Sardarapat14.8%
Draw / Draw13.2%
Draw / Sardarapat9.3%
Questions about Sardarapat vs FC Urartu
Who is favourite in Sardarapat vs FC Urartu?
The model gives FC Urartu the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Sardarapat vs FC Urartu?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Sardarapat vs FC Urartu?
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Sardarapat find the net in 70% of simulated matches and FC Urartu in 83%.
When do Sardarapat play FC Urartu?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.