Armenia Premier League
SardarapatHomeDLWDD
2:2Half-time 1:1
VanAwayLWLWD482428
Sardarapat winDrawVan win
SardarapatHomeDLWDDVanAwayLWLWD- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.99 1.73 : 1.26
- Favourite
- 48% Sardarapat
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Sardarapat vs Van odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.40 | 3.23 | 1.69 | 2.01 | 1.58 | 2.19 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.34 | 3.52 | 2.80 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.34 | 3.52 | 2.80 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.34 | 3.52 | 2.80 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.21 | 3.35 | 2.95 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 1.68 | 1.98 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sardarapat to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sardarapat vs Van are 2.34 for Sardarapat at 22Bet, 3.52 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.23 for Van at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.89 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.01 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (22Bet) and no 2.19 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
76%
Our prediction
Sardarapat or Van (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.89
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sardarapat, full-time Sardarapat
30% chance3.34fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
Sardarapat vs Van prediction
Sardarapat vs Van prediction and best bet
Sardarapat host Van on Friday, 30 October 2026 in the Armenia Premier League, and the model has Sardarapat at 48%, the draw at 24% and Van at 28%: that is the Sardarapat vs Van prediction in one line.
Sardarapat are expected to score 1.73 and Van 1.26, so the total line is 2.99 goals; over 2.5 lands at 58% and BTTS at 58%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Sardarapat or Van (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. At 1.27 with Betwinner the market prices it at 79%, against 76% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Sardarapat stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Van show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Sardarapat vs Van? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 42% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 58%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 22Bet pay 1.89.
BTTS yes stands at 58%. Sardarapat score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for Van; Van score in 72% while Sardarapat shut them out 28% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11%, then 2-1 at 9.5% and 1-0 at 8.7%.
With the top scoreline at 11%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sardarapat vs Van; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Sardarapat, full-time Sardarapat is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
All markets, Sardarapat vs Van
The grid built from 1.73 and 1.26 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Sardarapat to win48%2.34
Draw24%3.52
Van to win28%3.23
Sardarapat, draw no bet63%fair 1.58
Van, draw no bet37%fair 2.72
Double chance
Sardarapat or draw72%1.40
Van or draw52%1.66
Sardarapat or Van (no draw)76%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals58%1.89
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.85
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.46
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.98
Under 2.5 goals42%2.01
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.54
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.74
Not both teams to score42%2.19
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.57
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Sardarapat to score82%fair 1.22
Van to score72%fair 1.40
Sardarapat clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Van clean sheet18%fair 5.65
Sardarapat to win to nil26%fair 3.83
Van to win to nil16%fair 6.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111%
2-19.5%
1-08.7%
2-07.5%
1-26.9%
0-16.3%
Half-time / full-time
Sardarapat / Sardarapat29.9%
Van / Van16%
Draw / Sardarapat15.6%
Draw / Draw13.3%
Draw / Van9.9%
Questions about Sardarapat vs Van
Sardarapat or Van: which side does the model back?
The model gives Sardarapat the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 24%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Sardarapat vs Van?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Sardarapat vs Van?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Sardarapat find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Van in 72%.
When do Sardarapat play Van?
Kick-off is 11:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.