Primera Nacional
Atletico DE RafaelaHomeLLLWD
Mon 2 Nov
PatronatoAwayWLWLL343333
Atletico DE Rafaela winDrawPatronato win
Atletico DE RafaelaHomeLLLWDPatronatoAwayWLWLL- Kick-off Mon 2 Nov
- Expected goals
- 1.90 0.96 : 0.94
- Favourite
- 34% Atletico DE Rafaela
- Over 2.5 goals
- 29% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
Best odds for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.77 | 2.77 | 2.54 | 2.74 | 1.35 | 2.23 | 1.57 | Bet |
 Melbet | - | - | - | 2.52 | 1.41 | - | - | Bet |
 Stake | 2.24 | 2.90 | 3.35 | - | - | 2.27 | 1.52 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Atletico DE Rafaela to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato prediction: Atletico DE Rafaela 2.77 (1xBet), draw 2.90 (Stake), Patronato 3.35 (Stake).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 99.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.74 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.41 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.27 (Stake) and no 1.57 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
67%
Our prediction
Atletico DE Rafaela or Patronato (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
71% chance1.41
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
57% chance1.77fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
15% chance6.67fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
23% chance4.35fair
First halfFirst-half goal
58% chance1.74fair
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato odds movement
Atletico DE Rafaela win2.77-0.48
Draw2.90-0.20
Patronato win3.35+0.93
Over 2.5 goals2.74-0.14
Under 2.5 goals1.41-0.01
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato prediction
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato prediction for Monday, 2 November 2026: 34% home, 33% draw and 33% away in the Primera Nacional. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 1.90 in total, split 0.96 to Atletico DE Rafaela and 0.94 to Patronato. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 29% and both teams to score 39%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato is atletico DE Rafaela or Patronato (no draw), a 67% chance. Stake offer the top price at 1.34. That price implies 75%, 8 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato.
The draw is live at 33%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Atletico DE Rafaela average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Patronato 1.0 and 0.8 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
Under 2.5 goals is rated 71% and under 3.5 88%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 57% and over 2.5 at 29%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 71%, best priced 1.41 at Melbet.
Both teams to score is 39%: Atletico DE Rafaela find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Patronato in 61%. Atletico DE Rafaela keep a clean sheet 39% of the time and Patronato 38%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato: 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (14.4%) and 0-1 (14.1%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 58%.
Every market rated for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 34% / 33% / 33% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Atletico DE Rafaela to win34%2.77
Draw33%2.90
Patronato to win33%3.35
Atletico DE Rafaela, draw no bet51%fair 1.97
Patronato, draw no bet49%fair 2.03
Double chance
Atletico DE Rafaela or draw67%1.39
Patronato or draw66%1.55
Atletico DE Rafaela or Patronato (no draw)67%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 goals57%fair 1.77
Over 2.5 goals29%2.74
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 8.00
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 22.73
Under 1.5 goals43%fair 2.30
Under 2.5 goals71%1.41
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.14
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.27
Not both teams to score61%1.57
Halves
First-half goal58%fair 1.74
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.74
Second-half goal65%fair 1.54
Team goals
Atletico DE Rafaela to score62%fair 1.62
Patronato to score61%fair 1.64
Atletico DE Rafaela clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Patronato clean sheet38%fair 2.61
Atletico DE Rafaela to win to nil31%fair 3.19
Patronato to win to nil31%fair 3.28
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
0-015%
1-014.4%
0-114.1%
1-113.5%
2-06.9%
0-26.6%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw23%
Atletico DE Rafaela / Atletico DE Rafaela19.3%
Patronato / Patronato18.6%
Draw / Atletico DE Rafaela14%
Draw / Patronato13.6%
Questions about Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
Who is favourite in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato?
The model gives Atletico DE Rafaela the best chance at 34%, with the draw at 33%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 29% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Atletico DE Rafaela find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Patronato in 61%.
When is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato and where is the result shown?
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato starts at 18:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.