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Copa Argentina Semi-finals Thursday, 29 October 2026 Pens
Atletico TucumanHomeLDLWD
1:1Half-time 1:0Penalties 4:5
PlatenseAwayDDLWD
303535
Atletico Tucuman winDrawPlatense win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
2.17
1.04 : 1.13
Favourite
35%
Platense
Over 2.5 goals
37%
model chance
Both teams to score
46%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Atletico Tucuman vs Platense odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.172.802.592.431.571.951.76Bet
22Bet3.012.812.632.651.452.011.74Bet
BC.Game3.102.722.662.641.442.021.70Bet
Betwinner3.012.812.632.651.452.011.74Bet
Melbet3.012.812.632.651.452.011.74Bet
Stake2.953.002.602.501.492.101.66Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Platense to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Atletico Tucuman vs Platense prediction: Atletico Tucuman 3.17 (1xBet), draw 3.00 (Stake), Platense 2.66 (BC.Game).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.65 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.57 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.10 (Stake) and no 1.76 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

70%

Our prediction

Platense or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.04 : 1.13-3% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
63% chance1.57
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
64% chance1.57fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.46fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Platense, full-time Platense
22% chance4.65fair
First halfFirst-half goal
62% chance1.61fair

Atletico Tucuman vs Platense prediction

Atletico Tucuman vs Platense prediction and best bet

Atletico Tucuman vs Platense prediction for the Copa Argentina on Thursday, 29 October 2026: the model calls it close, Atletico Tucuman 30%, draw 35%, Platense 35%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

The goal expectancy is 2.17 in total, split 1.04 to Atletico Tucuman and 1.13 to Platense. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 37% and both teams to score 46%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Platense or draw is the main selection, rated 70%. At 1.39 with Stake the market prices it at 72%, against 70% from the model.

A 35% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Form check: Atletico Tucuman have won 1 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 8 conceded, Platense 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 6.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Atletico Tucuman vs Platense

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 64%, over 2.5 at 37%, over 3.5 at 18%; under 2.5 is 63% and under 3.5 is 83%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%; 1xBet pay 1.57.

Both teams to score is 46%: Atletico Tucuman find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Platense in 68%. Atletico Tucuman keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Platense 35%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Atletico Tucuman vs Platense: 1-1 (13.4%), 0-1 (12.9%) and 1-0 (11.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Platense, full-time Platense is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.

Every market rated for Atletico Tucuman vs Platense

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 30% / 35% / 35% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Atletico Tucuman to win30%3.17
Draw35%3.00
Platense to win35%2.66
Atletico Tucuman, draw no bet47%fair 2.15
Platense, draw no bet54%fair 1.87

Double chance

Atletico Tucuman or draw65%1.49
Platense or draw70%1.39
Atletico Tucuman or Platense (no draw)65%1.43

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 goals64%fair 1.57
Over 2.5 goals37%2.65
Over 3.5 goals18%fair 5.71
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 14.49
Under 1.5 goals36%fair 2.76
Under 2.5 goals63%1.57
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.21

BTTS

Both teams to score46%2.10
Not both teams to score54%1.76

Halves

First-half goal62%fair 1.61
Over 1.5 first-half goals26%fair 3.91
Second-half goal70%fair 1.43

Team goals

Atletico Tucuman to score65%fair 1.55
Platense to score68%fair 1.48
Atletico Tucuman clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Platense clean sheet35%fair 2.83
Atletico Tucuman to win to nil28%fair 3.58
Platense to win to nil32%fair 3.13

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
0-112.9%
1-011.9%
0-011.4%
1-27.6%
0-27.3%

Half-time / full-time

Platense / Platense21.5%
Draw / Draw19.9%
Atletico Tucuman / Atletico Tucuman18.6%
Draw / Platense14.4%
Draw / Atletico Tucuman12.9%

Questions about Atletico Tucuman vs Platense

Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Platense?

The model gives Platense the best chance at 35%, with the draw at 35%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Atletico Tucuman vs Platense?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 37%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Atletico Tucuman vs Platense?

The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Atletico Tucuman find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Platense in 68%.

When is Atletico Tucuman vs Platense and where is the result shown?

Atletico Tucuman vs Platense starts at 00:15 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Atletico Tucuman v PlatensePlatense or draw, 70%
1.39Bet