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Live 16 UTC
Liga Profesional Clausura - 16 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
Gimnasia M.HomeLWLLD
Sun 8 Nov
Independ. RivadaviaAwayWDLDL
302644
Gimnasia M. winDrawIndepend. Rivadavia win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.64
1.17 : 1.47
Favourite
44%
Independ. Rivadavia
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

74%

Our prediction

Gimnasia M. or Independ. Rivadavia (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.17 : 1.47
1.35fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.97fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.88fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Independ. Rivadavia, full-time Independ. Rivadavia
26% chance3.79fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.44fair

Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction

Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction and best bet

The Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction leans to Independ. Rivadavia: 44% against 30% for Gimnasia M., with 26% left for the draw, in the Liga Profesional on Sunday, 8 November 2026.

Expected goals are 1.17 for Gimnasia M. and 1.47 for Independ. Rivadavia, a total of 2.64, which puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Gimnasia M. or Independ. Rivadavia (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Over the last 5 matches Gimnasia M. stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Independ. Rivadavia show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia reads 74% for over 1.5, 49% for over 2.5 and 27% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 51%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%.

Both teams to score is 53%: Gimnasia M. find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Independ. Rivadavia in 77%. Gimnasia M. keep a clean sheet 23% of the time and Independ. Rivadavia 31%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%, followed by 0-1 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Independ. Rivadavia, full-time Independ. Rivadavia leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Gimnasia M. to win30%fair 3.31
Draw26%fair 3.88
Independ. Rivadavia to win44%fair 2.27
Gimnasia M., draw no bet41%fair 2.46
Independ. Rivadavia, draw no bet59%fair 1.68

Double chance

Gimnasia M. or draw56%fair 1.79
Independ. Rivadavia or draw70%fair 1.43
Gimnasia M. or Independ. Rivadavia (no draw)74%fair 1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%fair 2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Under 2.5 goals51%fair 1.97
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38

BTTS

Both teams to score53%fair 1.88
Not both teams to score47%fair 2.14

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.00
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31

Team goals

Gimnasia M. to score69%fair 1.45
Independ. Rivadavia to score77%fair 1.30
Gimnasia M. clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Independ. Rivadavia clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Gimnasia M. to win to nil21%fair 4.72
Independ. Rivadavia to win to nil29%fair 3.50

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
0-110.5%
1-29%
1-08.3%
0-27.7%
2-17.2%

Half-time / full-time

Independ. Rivadavia / Independ. Rivadavia26.4%
Gimnasia M. / Gimnasia M.17.2%
Draw / Draw15.7%
Draw / Independ. Rivadavia15.2%
Draw / Gimnasia M.11.1%

Questions about Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia

Who is favourite in Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?

The model gives Independ. Rivadavia the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Gimnasia M. find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Independ. Rivadavia in 77%.

When do Gimnasia M. play Independ. Rivadavia?

Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Gimnasia M. v Independ. RivadaviaGimnasia M. or Independ. Rivadavia (no draw), 74%
1.35fair