Liga Profesional
Clausura - 16 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
IndependienteHomeWLDDL
Sun 8 Nov
Deportivo RiestraAwayDLDLL523018
Independiente winDrawDeportivo Riestra win
Liga Profesional
Clausura - 16 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
IndependienteHomeWLDDLDeportivo RiestraAwayDLDLL- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 1.88 1.27 : 0.61
- Favourite
- 52% Independiente
- Over 2.5 goals
- 29% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 33% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
52%
Our prediction
Independiente to win
1.91fair
Double chanceIndependiente or draw
82% chance1.22fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
67% chance1.50fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
56% chance1.78fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
19% chance5.15fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Independiente, full-time Independiente
31% chance3.22fair
Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra prediction
Our Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra prediction and pick
Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra prediction for the Liga Profesional on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Independiente a narrow favourite at 52%, with the draw at 30% and Deportivo Riestra at 18%.
The goal expectancy is 1.88 in total, split 1.27 to Independiente and 0.61 to Deportivo Riestra. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 29% and both teams to score 33%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is independiente to win at 52%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Independiente or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 82% chance.
Over the last 5 matches Independiente stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Deportivo Riestra show 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 71% and under 3.5 88%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 56% and over 2.5 at 29%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 71%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 33%, built from Independiente scoring in 72% of runs and Deportivo Riestra in 46%; clean sheets come at 54% for Independiente and 28% for Deportivo Riestra.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 19.4%, followed by 0-0 (15.3%) and 2-0 (12.3%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Independiente, full-time Independiente is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 57%.
Every market for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Independiente to win52%fair 1.91
Draw30%fair 3.39
Deportivo Riestra to win18%fair 5.52
Independiente, draw no bet74%fair 1.35
Deportivo Riestra, draw no bet26%fair 3.89
Double chance
Independiente or draw82%fair 1.22
Deportivo Riestra or draw48%fair 2.10
Independiente or Deportivo Riestra (no draw)70%fair 1.42
Goals
Over 0.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 goals56%fair 1.78
Over 2.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.20
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 23.81
Under 1.5 goals44%fair 2.28
Under 2.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.14
BTTS
Both teams to score33%fair 3.01
Not both teams to score67%fair 1.50
Halves
First-half goal57%fair 1.75
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.81
Second-half goal64%fair 1.55
Team goals
Independiente to score72%fair 1.39
Deportivo Riestra to score46%fair 2.19
Independiente clean sheet54%fair 1.84
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Independiente to win to nil48%fair 2.08
Deportivo Riestra to win to nil17%fair 5.99
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95
Most likely scores
1-019.4%
0-015.3%
2-012.3%
1-111.8%
0-19.3%
2-17.5%
Half-time / full-time
Independiente / Independiente31.1%
Draw / Draw22.2%
Draw / Independiente19.9%
Deportivo Riestra / Deportivo Riestra9.3%
Draw / Deportivo Riestra7.9%
Questions about Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra
Independiente or Deportivo Riestra: which side does the model back?
The model gives Independiente the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 30%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 19.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 29% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?
The BTTS yes line is rated 33%. Independiente find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Deportivo Riestra in 46%.
When do Independiente play Deportivo Riestra?
Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.