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Live 16 UTC
Wales Premier League Round 16 Friday, 6 November 2026 Kick-off
TrefelinHomeLLWLL
Fri 6 Nov
Colwyn BayAwayWLWDW
192259
Trefelin winDrawColwyn Bay win
Kick-off
Fri 6 Nov
Expected goals
2.86
0.97 : 1.89
Favourite
59%
Colwyn Bay
Over 2.5 goals
54%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

59%

Our prediction

Colwyn Bay to win
StrongExpected goals 0.97 : 1.89
1.70fair
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw
81% chance1.23fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.85fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.90fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Colwyn Bay, full-time Colwyn Bay
38% chance2.67fair

Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay prediction

Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay prediction and best bet

Trefelin host Colwyn Bay on Friday, 6 November 2026 in the Wales Premier League, and the model has Colwyn Bay at 59%, the draw at 22% and Trefelin at 19%: that is the Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay prediction in one line.

Trefelin are expected to score 0.97 and Colwyn Bay 1.89, so the total line is 2.86 goals; over 2.5 lands at 54% and BTTS at 53%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay is colwyn Bay to win, a 59% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Colwyn Bay or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance.

Trefelin average 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across their last 5, Colwyn Bay 1.2 and 0.6 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay

On the goal lines Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay reads 78% for over 1.5, 54% for over 2.5 and 32% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 46%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%.

BTTS yes stands at 53%. Trefelin score in 62% of simulations against a 38% clean sheet for Colwyn Bay; Colwyn Bay score in 85% while Trefelin shut them out 15% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 10.8%, followed by 1-1 (10.5%) and 0-2 (10.2%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Colwyn Bay, full-time Colwyn Bay is the top combination at 38%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.

All markets, Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 19% / 22% / 59% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Trefelin to win19%fair 5.29
Draw22%fair 4.50
Colwyn Bay to win59%fair 1.70
Trefelin, draw no bet24%fair 4.12
Colwyn Bay, draw no bet76%fair 1.32

Double chance

Trefelin or draw41%fair 2.43
Colwyn Bay or draw81%fair 1.23
Trefelin or Colwyn Bay (no draw)78%fair 1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%fair 1.85
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.12
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.17
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 2.5 goals46%fair 2.18
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47

BTTS

Both teams to score53%fair 1.90
Not both teams to score48%fair 2.11

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.71
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26

Team goals

Trefelin to score62%fair 1.61
Colwyn Bay to score85%fair 1.18
Trefelin clean sheet15%fair 6.62
Colwyn Bay clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Trefelin to win to nil14%fair 7.19
Colwyn Bay to win to nil35%fair 2.87

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

0-110.8%
1-110.5%
0-210.2%
1-29.9%
0-36.4%
1-36.3%

Half-time / full-time

Colwyn Bay / Colwyn Bay37.5%
Draw / Colwyn Bay18.4%
Draw / Draw13.2%
Trefelin / Trefelin10.4%
Draw / Trefelin7.2%

Questions about Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay

Who is favourite in Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

The model gives Colwyn Bay the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay correct score: what does the model say?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 54%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Trefelin find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Colwyn Bay in 85%.

When do Trefelin play Colwyn Bay?

Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Trefelin v Colwyn BayColwyn Bay to win, 59%
1.70fair