HolywellHomeLDLLL
Airbus UKAwayLWWWW
HolywellHomeLDLLL
Airbus UKAwayLWWWW| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.01 | 4.20 | 1.53 | - | - | - | - | Bet | |
| 5.03 | 4.25 | 1.49 | 1.35 | 2.74 | 1.44 | 2.55 | Bet | |
| 5.22 | 4.30 | 1.54 | 1.38 | 2.80 | 1.46 | 2.54 | Bet | |
| 5.03 | 4.25 | 1.49 | 1.35 | 2.74 | 1.44 | 2.55 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Betwinner pay the best Holywell price at 5.22, Betwinner lead the draw at 4.30 and Betwinner have Airbus UK longest at 1.54.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.38 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.80 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.46 (Betwinner) and no 2.55 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
Airbus UK are the clear favourite in the Holywell vs Airbus UK prediction, rated 63% to win this Wales Premier League match on Friday, 6 November 2026. Holywell sit at 17% and the draw at 20%.
The goal expectancy is 3.71 in total, split 1.24 to Holywell and 2.47 to Airbus UK. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 71% and both teams to score 66%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Airbus UK to win is the main selection, rated 63%. The best price in our comparison is 1.54 at Betwinner, which implies 65%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.
Airbus UK or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.13.
The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Holywell stand at 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Airbus UK show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
On the goal lines Holywell vs Airbus UK reads 88% for over 1.5, 71% for over 2.5 and 51% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 29%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 71%; Betwinner pay 1.38.
The chance of both teams scoring is 66%, built from Holywell scoring in 71% of runs and Airbus UK in 92%; clean sheets come at 9% for Holywell and 29% for Airbus UK.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Holywell vs Airbus UK: 1-2 (9.3%), 1-3 (7.6%) and 1-1 (7.5%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Airbus UK, full-time Airbus UK is the top combination at 43%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 17% / 20% / 63% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Airbus UK the best chance at 63%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 71%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Holywell find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Airbus UK in 92%.
Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.