Wales Premier League
Airbus UKHomeLWWWW
3:2Half-time 1:1
Caernarfon TownAwayDLWWL252352
Airbus UK winDrawCaernarfon Town win
Airbus UKHomeLWWWWCaernarfon TownAwayDLWWL- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.39 1.36 : 2.03
- Favourite
- 53% Caernarfon Town
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 66% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.80 | 3.70 | 1.75 | 1.45 | 2.41 | 1.46 | 2.50 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.27 | 4.16 | 1.68 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.50 | 2.50 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.68 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 2.50 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.27 | 4.16 | 1.68 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.50 | 2.50 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.27 | 4.16 | 1.68 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.50 | 2.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Caernarfon Town to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town prediction: Airbus UK 4.27 (Melbet), draw 4.16 (Melbet), Caernarfon Town 1.75 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.45 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.63 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (22Bet) and no 2.50 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
53%
Our prediction
Caernarfon Town to win
Double chanceAirbus UK or Caernarfon Town (no draw)
77% chance1.21
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.45
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance10.64fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Caernarfon Town, full-time Caernarfon Town
34% chance2.97fair
Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town prediction
Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town prediction, who wins and at what price
Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town prediction for the Wales Premier League on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes Caernarfon Town a narrow favourite at 53%, with the draw at 23% and Airbus UK at 25%.
Airbus UK are expected to score 1.36 and Caernarfon Town 2.03, so the total line is 3.39 goals; over 2.5 lands at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Caernarfon Town to win is the main selection, rated 53%. At 1.75 with 1xBet the market prices it at 57%, against 53% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town.
For a safer line, airbus UK or Caernarfon Town (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes at 1.21.
Over the last 5 matches Airbus UK stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Caernarfon Town show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 65%, over 3.5 at 44%; under 2.5 is 35% and under 3.5 is 56%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.45 at Melbet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 66%, built from Airbus UK scoring in 74% of runs and Caernarfon Town in 87%; clean sheets come at 13% for Airbus UK and 26% for Caernarfon Town.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town: 1-2 (9.4%), 1-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (6.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Caernarfon Town, full-time Caernarfon Town leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town
The grid built from 1.36 and 2.03 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Airbus UK to win25%4.27
Draw23%4.16
Caernarfon Town to win53%1.75
Airbus UK, draw no bet32%fair 3.11
Caernarfon Town, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Double chance
Airbus UK or draw48%2.11
Caernarfon Town or draw75%1.20
Airbus UK or Caernarfon Town (no draw)77%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals65%1.45
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.28
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 3.94
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 2.5 goals35%2.63
Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.78
BTTS
Both teams to score66%1.50
Not both teams to score34%2.50
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.22
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Airbus UK to score74%fair 1.35
Caernarfon Town to score87%fair 1.15
Airbus UK clean sheet13%fair 7.63
Caernarfon Town clean sheet26%fair 3.89
Airbus UK to win to nil12%fair 8.26
Caernarfon Town to win to nil24%fair 4.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.4%
1-19.3%
0-26.9%
0-16.8%
2-26.4%
1-36.4%
Half-time / full-time
Caernarfon Town / Caernarfon Town33.7%
Draw / Caernarfon Town15.8%
Airbus UK / Airbus UK14.8%
Draw / Draw11.2%
Draw / Airbus UK8.7%
Questions about Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town
Airbus UK or Caernarfon Town: which side does the model back?
The model gives Caernarfon Town the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town correct score: what does the model say?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 65% backs the same picture with less variance.
Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Airbus UK find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Caernarfon Town in 87%.
When do Airbus UK play Caernarfon Town?
Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.