USL Championship
Tampa Bay RowdiesHomeLWWWD
2:0Half-time 1:0
Sporting JAXAwayLLLLL8785
Tampa Bay Rowdies winDrawSporting JAX win
Tampa Bay RowdiesHomeLWWWDSporting JAXAwayLLLLL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.22 3.52 : 0.70
- Favourite
- 87% Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.08 | 8.20 | 15.00 | 1.24 | 3.34 | 1.92 | 1.77 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Tampa Bay Rowdies price at 1.08, 1xBet lead the draw at 8.20 and 1xBet have Sporting JAX longest at 15.00.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.24 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.34 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.92 (1xBet) and no 1.77 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
87%
Our prediction
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw
95% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
76% chance1.24
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
92% chance1.09fair
ScorelineCorrect score 3-0
11% chance9.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tampa Bay Rowdies, full-time Tampa Bay Rowdies
67% chance1.49fair
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX prediction
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX prediction, who wins and at what price
The Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX prediction leans to Tampa Bay Rowdies: 87% against 5% for Sporting JAX, with 8% left for the draw, in the USL Championship on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
Expected goals are 3.52 for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.70 for Sporting JAX, a total of 4.22, which puts over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams to score at 48%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win is the main selection, rated 87%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.08. That price implies 93%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX.
Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 95% chance, priced -.
The draw sits at only 8%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Tampa Bay Rowdies stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Sporting JAX show 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 24% and under 3.5 40%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 92% and over 2.5 at 76%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 76%; 1xBet pay 1.24.
The chance of both teams scoring is 48%, built from Tampa Bay Rowdies scoring in 97% of runs and Sporting JAX in 50%; clean sheets come at 50% for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 3% for Sporting JAX.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX: 3-0 (10.7%), 4-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.1%).
With the top scoreline at 10.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Tampa Bay Rowdies, full-time Tampa Bay Rowdies leads at 67%. A goal before the break is rated 85%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 87% / 8% / 5% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win87%1.08
Draw8%8.20
Sporting JAX to win5%15.00
Tampa Bay Rowdies, draw no bet95%fair 1.05
Sporting JAX, draw no bet5%fair 19.23
Double chance
Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw95%-
Sporting JAX or draw13%5.30
Tampa Bay Rowdies or Sporting JAX (no draw)92%1.01
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 2.5 goals76%1.24
Over 3.5 goals61%fair 1.65
Over 4.5 goals41%fair 2.43
Under 1.5 goals8%fair 12.50
Under 2.5 goals24%3.34
Under 3.5 goals40%fair 2.53
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.92
Not both teams to score52%1.77
Halves
First-half goal85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 first-half goals57%fair 1.77
Second-half goal90%fair 1.11
Team goals
Tampa Bay Rowdies to score97%fair 1.03
Sporting JAX to score50%fair 1.99
Tampa Bay Rowdies clean sheet50%fair 2.01
Sporting JAX clean sheet3%fair 33.33
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win to nil46%fair 2.19
Sporting JAX to win to nil3%fair 37.04
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
3-010.7%
4-09.4%
2-09.1%
3-17.5%
5-06.6%
4-16.6%
Half-time / full-time
Tampa Bay Rowdies / Tampa Bay Rowdies67%
Draw / Tampa Bay Rowdies17.5%
Draw / Draw4.4%
Sporting JAX / Tampa Bay Rowdies3.1%
Sporting JAX / Sporting JAX2%
Questions about Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX?
The model gives Tampa Bay Rowdies the best chance at 87%, with the draw at 8%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX?
3-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 76% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Tampa Bay Rowdies find the net in 97% of simulated matches and Sporting JAX in 50%.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 23:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.