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Türkiye Kupası 3rd Round Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
Yeni OrdusporHomeL
0:2Half-time 0:2
1461 Trabzon FKAwayW
512524
Yeni Orduspor winDraw1461 Trabzon FK win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
2.99
1.79 : 1.20
Favourite
51%
Yeni Orduspor
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.843.603.871.682.091.612.18Bet
Betwinner-----1.442.60Bet
Melbet-----1.442.60Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Yeni Orduspor to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Yeni Orduspor price at 1.84, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.60 and 1xBet have 1461 Trabzon FK longest at 3.87.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.68 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.09 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (1xBet) and no 2.60 (Melbet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

51%

Our prediction

Yeni Orduspor to win
LeanExpected goals 1.79 : 1.20-6.9% against the best price
Double chanceYeni Orduspor or draw
76% chance1.22
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.68
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Yeni Orduspor, full-time Yeni Orduspor
32% chance3.13fair

Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK prediction

Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK prediction and best bet

Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK prediction for the Türkiye Kupası on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes Yeni Orduspor a narrow favourite at 51%, with the draw at 25% and 1461 Trabzon FK at 25%.

The goal expectancy is 2.99 in total, split 1.79 to Yeni Orduspor and 1.20 to 1461 Trabzon FK. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 59%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Yeni Orduspor to win is the main selection, rated 51%. At 1.84 with 1xBet the market prices it at 54%, against 51% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK.

For a safer line, yeni Orduspor or draw covers 76% of outcomes at 1.22.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK

On the goal lines Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK reads 80% for over 1.5, 57% for over 2.5 and 35% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.68 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 59%. Yeni Orduspor score in 83% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for 1461 Trabzon FK; 1461 Trabzon FK score in 70% while Yeni Orduspor shut them out 30% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%, followed by 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Yeni Orduspor, full-time Yeni Orduspor is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

All markets, Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK

The grid built from 1.79 and 1.20 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Yeni Orduspor to win51%1.84
Draw25%3.60
1461 Trabzon FK to win25%3.87
Yeni Orduspor, draw no bet67%fair 1.48
1461 Trabzon FK, draw no bet33%fair 3.07

Double chance

Yeni Orduspor or draw76%1.22
1461 Trabzon FK or draw49%1.87
Yeni Orduspor or 1461 Trabzon FK (no draw)75%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.68
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.85
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.46
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.98
Under 2.5 goals43%2.09
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.54

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.61
Not both teams to score41%2.60

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.57
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Yeni Orduspor to score83%fair 1.20
1461 Trabzon FK to score70%fair 1.43
Yeni Orduspor clean sheet30%fair 3.32
1461 Trabzon FK clean sheet17%fair 5.99
Yeni Orduspor to win to nil28%fair 3.61
1461 Trabzon FK to win to nil15%fair 6.49

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
2-19.7%
1-09%
2-08.1%
1-26.5%
0-16%

Half-time / full-time

Yeni Orduspor / Yeni Orduspor31.9%
Draw / Yeni Orduspor16.3%
1461 Trabzon FK / 1461 Trabzon FK14.5%
Draw / Draw13.2%
Draw / 1461 Trabzon FK9.2%

Questions about Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK

Yeni Orduspor or 1461 Trabzon FK: which side does the model back?

The model gives Yeni Orduspor the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Yeni Orduspor find the net in 83% of simulated matches and 1461 Trabzon FK in 70%.

When do Yeni Orduspor play 1461 Trabzon FK?

Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK starts at 17:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Yeni Orduspor v 1461 Trabzon FKYeni Orduspor to win, 51%
1.84Bet