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Türkiye Kupası 3rd Round Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
Menemen FKHomeL
0:1Half-time 0:0
Karacabey BelediyesporAwayDW
382636
Menemen FK winDrawKaracabey Belediyespor win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
2.80
1.41 : 1.39
Favourite
38%
Menemen FK
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.453.402.601.781.951.622.16Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Menemen FK to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Menemen FK price at 2.45, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.40 and 1xBet have Karacabey Belediyespor longest at 2.60.

The best-price payout across the three results is 92%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.78 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.95 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (1xBet) and no 2.16 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

Menemen FK or Karacabey Belediyespor (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.41 : 1.39-6.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.62
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Menemen FK, full-time Menemen FK
22% chance4.48fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.40fair

Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor prediction

Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor prediction and best bet

The Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Türkiye Kupası on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 gives Menemen FK a 38% chance, Karacabey Belediyespor 37% and the draw 26%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Expected goals are 1.41 for Menemen FK and 1.39 for Karacabey Belediyespor, a total of 2.80, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 58%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor is menemen FK or Karacabey Belediyespor (no draw), a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 31%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 69%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.78 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Menemen FK scoring in 76% of runs and Karacabey Belediyespor in 75%; clean sheets come at 25% for Menemen FK and 24% for Karacabey Belediyespor.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.9%, then 1-0 at 8.6% and 0-1 at 8.5%.

With the top scoreline at 11.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Menemen FK, full-time Menemen FK leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor

The grid built from 1.41 and 1.39 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Menemen FK to win38%2.45
Draw26%3.40
Karacabey Belediyespor to win37%2.60
Menemen FK, draw no bet51%fair 1.97
Karacabey Belediyespor, draw no bet49%fair 2.03

Double chance

Menemen FK or draw63%1.42
Karacabey Belediyespor or draw62%1.47
Menemen FK or Karacabey Belediyespor (no draw)74%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.78
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.58
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.33
Under 2.5 goals47%1.95
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.62
Not both teams to score42%2.16

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.79
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27

Team goals

Menemen FK to score76%fair 1.32
Karacabey Belediyespor to score75%fair 1.33
Menemen FK clean sheet25%fair 4.02
Karacabey Belediyespor clean sheet24%fair 4.10
Menemen FK to win to nil23%fair 4.37
Karacabey Belediyespor to win to nil23%fair 4.44

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-08.6%
0-18.5%
2-18.4%
1-28.3%
0-06.1%

Half-time / full-time

Menemen FK / Menemen FK22.3%
Karacabey Belediyespor / Karacabey Belediyespor21.7%
Draw / Draw14.8%
Draw / Menemen FK13.1%
Draw / Karacabey Belediyespor12.9%

Questions about Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor

Who will win Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor?

The model gives Menemen FK the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Menemen FK find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Karacabey Belediyespor in 75%.

What time does Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor kick off?

Kick-off is 10:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Menemen FK v Karacabey BelediyesporMenemen FK or Karacabey Belediyespor (no draw), 74%
1.26Bet