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Türkiye Kupası 3rd Round Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
BalıkesirsporHomeWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Arnavutköy BelediyesporAwayL
582220
Balıkesirspor winDrawArnavutköy Belediyespor win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
3.13
2.02 : 1.11
Favourite
58%
Balıkesirspor
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Balıkesirspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.643.904.731.612.211.612.18Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Balıkesirspor to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Balıkesirspor price at 1.64, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.90 and 1xBet have Arnavutköy Belediyespor longest at 4.73.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.61 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.21 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (1xBet) and no 2.18 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

58%

Our prediction

Balıkesirspor to win
StrongExpected goals 2.02 : 1.11-4.9% against the best price
Double chanceBalıkesirspor or draw
80% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.61
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Balıkesirspor, full-time Balıkesirspor
38% chance2.67fair

Balıkesirspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor prediction

Balıkesirspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor prediction, who wins and at what price

Balıkesirspor are a narrow favourite in the Balıkesirspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor prediction, rated 58% to win this Türkiye Kupası match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Arnavutköy Belediyespor sit at 20% and the draw at 22%.

Balıkesirspor are expected to score 2.02 and Arnavutköy Belediyespor 1.11, so the total line is 3.13 goals; over 2.5 lands at 60% and BTTS at 59%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Balıkesirspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor is balıkesirspor to win, a 58% chance. At 1.64 with 1xBet the market prices it at 61%, against 58% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, balıkesirspor or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.15.

Goals forecast for Balıkesirspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 40% and under 3.5 62%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 60%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.61 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 59%. Balıkesirspor score in 87% of simulations against a 13% clean sheet for Arnavutköy Belediyespor; Arnavutköy Belediyespor score in 67% while Balıkesirspor shut them out 33% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.9%, then 1-1 at 9.8% and 2-0 at 8.9%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Balıkesirspor, full-time Balıkesirspor is the top combination at 38%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

Every market for Balıkesirspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Balıkesirspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Balıkesirspor to win58%1.64
Draw22%3.90
Arnavutköy Belediyespor to win20%4.73
Balıkesirspor, draw no bet75%fair 1.34
Arnavutköy Belediyespor, draw no bet25%fair 3.95

Double chance

Balıkesirspor or draw80%1.15
Arnavutköy Belediyespor or draw42%2.14
Balıkesirspor or Arnavutköy Belediyespor (no draw)78%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.61
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.62
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 2.5 goals40%2.21
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.61
Not both teams to score41%2.18

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.43
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Balıkesirspor to score87%fair 1.15
Arnavutköy Belediyespor to score67%fair 1.49
Balıkesirspor clean sheet33%fair 3.03
Arnavutköy Belediyespor clean sheet13%fair 7.52
Balıkesirspor to win to nil30%fair 3.30
Arnavutköy Belediyespor to win to nil12%fair 8.20

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.9%
1-19.8%
2-08.9%
1-08.8%
3-16.7%
3-06%

Half-time / full-time

Balıkesirspor / Balıkesirspor37.5%
Draw / Balıkesirspor17.6%
Draw / Draw11.9%
Arnavutköy Belediyespor / Arnavutköy Belediyespor11.4%
Draw / Arnavutköy Belediyespor7.4%

Questions about Balıkesirspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor

Who is favourite in Balıkesirspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?

The model gives Balıkesirspor the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Balıkesirspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor correct score: what does the model say?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Balıkesirspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Balıkesirspor find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Arnavutköy Belediyespor in 67%.

When is Balıkesirspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Balıkesirspor v Arnavutköy BelediyesporBalıkesirspor to win, 58%
1.64Bet