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Challenge League Round 12 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
Étoile CarougeHomeLLLWD
2:2Half-time 1:1
SC KriensAwayWDLD
452530
Étoile Carouge winDrawSC Kriens win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
3.33
1.83 : 1.50
Favourite
45%
Étoile Carouge
Over 2.5 goals
64%
model chance
Both teams to score
67%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.023.742.911.382.621.382.77Bet
22Bet2.103.892.971.452.631.452.64Bet
BC.Game2.063.802.961.472.521.422.60Bet
Betwinner2.103.892.971.452.631.452.64Bet
Melbet2.103.892.971.452.631.452.64Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Étoile Carouge to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens are 2.10 for Étoile Carouge at 22Bet, 3.89 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.97 for SC Kriens at 22Bet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.47 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.63 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.45 (22Bet) and no 2.77 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

Étoile Carouge or SC Kriens (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.83 : 1.50-7.3% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
64% chance1.47
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.45
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Étoile Carouge, full-time Étoile Carouge
28% chance3.55fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.29fair

Étoile Carouge v SC Kriens head to head

0Étoile Carouge wins
0Draws
1SC Kriens wins
  • 18 Sep 26SC Kriens4:1Étoile Carouge

1 meeting since coverage began, 5 goals in total: Étoile Carouge scored 1, SC Kriens scored 4.

Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens prediction

Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens prediction, who wins and at what price

Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens prediction for the Challenge League on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes Étoile Carouge marginally ahead at 45%, with the draw at 25% and SC Kriens at 31%.

The goal expectancy is 3.33 in total, split 1.83 to Étoile Carouge and 1.50 to SC Kriens. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 64% and both teams to score 67%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is Étoile Carouge or SC Kriens (no draw) at 75%. At 1.23 with Betwinner the market prices it at 81%, against 75% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens.

Over the last 5 matches Étoile Carouge stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; SC Kriens show 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 4.

Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens reads 85% for over 1.5, 64% for over 2.5 and 43% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 36%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; BC.Game pay 1.47.

BTTS yes stands at 67%. Étoile Carouge score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for SC Kriens; SC Kriens score in 78% while Étoile Carouge shut them out 22% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.8%, followed by 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (7.4%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Étoile Carouge, full-time Étoile Carouge is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.

All markets, Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens

The grid built from 1.83 and 1.50 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Étoile Carouge to win45%2.10
Draw25%3.89
SC Kriens to win31%2.97
Étoile Carouge, draw no bet59%fair 1.69
SC Kriens, draw no bet41%fair 2.46

Double chance

Étoile Carouge or draw69%1.36
SC Kriens or draw55%1.68
Étoile Carouge or SC Kriens (no draw)75%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.47
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.35
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.12
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 2.5 goals36%2.63
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.74

BTTS

Both teams to score67%1.45
Not both teams to score33%2.77

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.26
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19

Team goals

Étoile Carouge to score84%fair 1.19
SC Kriens to score78%fair 1.29
Étoile Carouge clean sheet22%fair 4.48
SC Kriens clean sheet16%fair 6.25
Étoile Carouge to win to nil21%fair 4.88
SC Kriens to win to nil15%fair 6.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.8%
2-19%
1-27.4%
2-26.7%
1-06.6%
2-06%

Half-time / full-time

Étoile Carouge / Étoile Carouge28.2%
SC Kriens / SC Kriens18.7%
Draw / Étoile Carouge14.2%
Draw / Draw11.8%
Draw / SC Kriens10.6%

Questions about Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens

Who is favourite in Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens?

The model gives Étoile Carouge the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 64% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens?

The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Étoile Carouge find the net in 84% of simulated matches and SC Kriens in 78%.

When do Étoile Carouge play SC Kriens?

Étoile Carouge vs SC Kriens starts at 19:15 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Étoile Carouge v SC KriensÉtoile Carouge or SC Kriens (no draw), 75%
1.23Bet