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Live 20 UTC
K League 1 Round 33 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Incheon UnitedHomeDWDWW
3:1Half-time 0:0
Jeju United FCAwayWLLLD
413029
Incheon United winDrawJeju United FC win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.37
1.30 : 1.07
Favourite
41%
Incheon United
Over 2.5 goals
42%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Incheon United vs Jeju United FC odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.263.163.212.191.631.881.82Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Incheon United to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Incheon United vs Jeju United FC are 2.26 for Incheon United at 1xBet, 3.16 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.21 for Jeju United FC at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.19 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.63 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.88 (1xBet) and no 1.82 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

71%

Our prediction

Incheon United or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.30 : 1.07-6.5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.63
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.69fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Incheon United, full-time Incheon United
25% chance4.08fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair

Incheon United vs Jeju United FC prediction

Our Incheon United vs Jeju United FC prediction and pick

Incheon United host Jeju United FC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the K League 1, and the model has Incheon United at 41%, the draw at 30% and Jeju United FC at 29%: that is the Incheon United vs Jeju United FC prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.37 in total, split 1.30 to Incheon United and 1.07 to Jeju United FC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 48%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is incheon United or draw at 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.32 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Incheon United stand at 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Jeju United FC show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Incheon United vs Jeju United FC

On the goal lines Incheon United vs Jeju United FC reads 69% for over 1.5, 42% for over 2.5 and 22% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 58%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.63.

BTTS yes stands at 48%. Incheon United score in 73% of simulations against a 27% clean sheet for Jeju United FC; Jeju United FC score in 66% while Incheon United shut them out 34% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Incheon United vs Jeju United FC: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12.2%) and 0-1 (10%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Incheon United, full-time Incheon United leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Incheon United vs Jeju United FC

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 41% / 30% / 29% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Incheon United to win41%2.26
Draw30%3.16
Jeju United FC to win29%3.21
Incheon United, draw no bet58%fair 1.71
Jeju United FC, draw no bet42%fair 2.40

Double chance

Incheon United or draw71%1.32
Jeju United FC or draw59%1.59
Incheon United or Jeju United FC (no draw)70%1.33

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.19
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.65
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.87
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.17
Under 2.5 goals58%1.63
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27

BTTS

Both teams to score48%1.88
Not both teams to score52%1.82

Halves

First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.46
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37

Team goals

Incheon United to score73%fair 1.38
Jeju United FC to score66%fair 1.52
Incheon United clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Jeju United FC clean sheet27%fair 3.66
Incheon United to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Jeju United FC to win to nil25%fair 3.98

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113%
1-012.2%
0-110%
0-09.3%
2-18.5%
2-07.9%

Half-time / full-time

Incheon United / Incheon United24.5%
Draw / Draw17.9%
Jeju United FC / Jeju United FC17.3%
Draw / Incheon United15.2%
Draw / Jeju United FC11.7%

Questions about Incheon United vs Jeju United FC

Who will win Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?

The model gives Incheon United the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Incheon United find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Jeju United FC in 66%.

What time does Incheon United vs Jeju United FC kick off?

Incheon United vs Jeju United FC starts at 05:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Incheon United v Jeju United FCIncheon United or draw, 71%
1.32Bet