Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC prediction

Our Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC prediction and pick

Daejeon Citizen host Gwangju FC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 in the K League 1, and the model has Daejeon Citizen at 70%, the draw at 18% and Gwangju FC at 12%: that is the Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 2.34 for Daejeon Citizen and 0.86 for Gwangju FC, a total of 3.20, which puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 53%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Daejeon Citizen to win is the main selection, rated 70%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.40. That price implies 71%, 1 points over the model figure.

Daejeon Citizen or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 88% chance, priced 1.08.

With the draw down at 18%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Daejeon Citizen stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Gwangju FC show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 61%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 39% and under 3.5 is 60%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.56 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Daejeon Citizen scoring in 90% of runs and Gwangju FC in 58%; clean sheets come at 42% for Daejeon Citizen and 10% for Gwangju FC.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 11.2%, then 2-1 at 9.6% and 1-0 at 9.5%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Daejeon Citizen, full-time Daejeon Citizen is the top combination at 48%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.