LoznicaHomeWDDLL
CukarickiAwayDWWWD
LoznicaHomeWDDLL
CukarickiAwayDWWWD| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.26 | 3.58 | 1.68 | 1.71 | 1.98 | 1.66 | 2.05 | Bet | |
| 4.36 | 3.89 | 1.71 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet | |
| 4.70 | 3.75 | 1.62 | 1.72 | 2.02 | 1.68 | 1.99 | Bet | |
| 4.36 | 3.89 | 1.71 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet | |
| 4.56 | 3.60 | 1.64 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.67 | 2.04 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Loznica vs Cukaricki prediction: Loznica 4.70 (BC.Game), draw 3.89 (22Bet), Cukaricki 1.71 (22Bet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.02 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Betwinner) and no 2.05 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
Loznica vs Cukaricki prediction for the Serbia Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes Cukaricki a narrow favourite at 55%, with the draw at 24% and Loznica at 21%.
Expected goals are 1.05 for Loznica and 1.81 for Cukaricki, a total of 2.86, which puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 55%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Loznica vs Cukaricki is cukaricki to win, a 55% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.71. That price implies 58%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Loznica vs Cukaricki.
For a safer line, cukaricki or draw covers 79% of outcomes at 1.19.
Over the last 5 matches Loznica stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Cukaricki show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 54%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 46% and under 3.5 is 68%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; Betwinner pay 1.81.
Both teams to score is 55%: Loznica find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Cukaricki in 84%. Loznica keep a clean sheet 16% of the time and Cukaricki 35%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Loznica vs Cukaricki: 1-1 (10.9%), 0-1 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.8%).
With the top scoreline at 10.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Loznica vs Cukaricki; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Cukaricki, full-time Cukaricki is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 21% / 24% / 55% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Cukaricki the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Loznica find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Cukaricki in 84%.
Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.