Russia Cup
Volga UlyanovskHomeDDWWD
Thu 5 Nov
Chertanovo MoscowAwayW642016
Volga Ulyanovsk winDrawChertanovo Moscow win
Volga UlyanovskHomeDDWWDChertanovo MoscowAwayW- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.68 1.88 : 0.80
- Favourite
- 64% Volga Ulyanovsk
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 47% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.53 | 4.72 | 5.91 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.95 | 1.76 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.50 | 4.64 | 5.80 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.95 | 1.76 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.50 | 4.64 | 5.80 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.95 | 1.76 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.50 | 4.64 | 5.80 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.95 | 1.76 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Volga Ulyanovsk to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow prediction: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.53 (1xBet), draw 4.72 (1xBet), Chertanovo Moscow 5.91 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.93 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.93 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.95 (1xBet) and no 1.76 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
64%
Our prediction
Volga Ulyanovsk to win
Double chanceVolga Ulyanovsk or draw
84% chance1.16
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
50% chance1.93
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Volga Ulyanovsk, full-time Volga Ulyanovsk
40% chance2.48fair
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow odds movement
Volga Ulyanovsk win1.53+0.03
Draw4.72unchanged
Chertanovo Moscow win5.91-0.46
Over 2.5 goals1.93unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.93unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 06:42 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow prediction
Our Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow prediction and pick
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow prediction for the Russia Cup on Thursday, 5 November 2026: the model makes Volga Ulyanovsk the clear favourite at 64%, with the draw at 20% and Chertanovo Moscow at 16%.
Volga Ulyanovsk are expected to score 1.88 and Chertanovo Moscow 0.80, so the total line is 2.68 goals; over 2.5 lands at 50% and BTTS at 47%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Volga Ulyanovsk to win is the main selection, rated 64%. At 1.53 with 1xBet the market prices it at 65%, against 64% from the model.
Volga Ulyanovsk or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.16.
The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow
Under 2.5 goals is rated 50% and under 3.5 72%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 75% and over 2.5 at 50%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%; 1xBet pay 1.93.
The chance of both teams scoring is 47%, built from Volga Ulyanovsk scoring in 85% of runs and Chertanovo Moscow in 55%; clean sheets come at 45% for Volga Ulyanovsk and 15% for Chertanovo Moscow.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 12.9%, then 2-0 at 12.1% and 1-1 at 10.3%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Volga Ulyanovsk, full-time Volga Ulyanovsk is the top combination at 40%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
Every market for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Volga Ulyanovsk to win64%1.53
Draw20%4.72
Chertanovo Moscow to win16%5.91
Volga Ulyanovsk, draw no bet80%fair 1.26
Chertanovo Moscow, draw no bet20%fair 4.90
Double chance
Volga Ulyanovsk or draw84%1.16
Chertanovo Moscow or draw36%2.62
Volga Ulyanovsk or Chertanovo Moscow (no draw)80%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals50%1.93
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.56
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.46
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 3.97
Under 2.5 goals50%1.93
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.39
BTTS
Both teams to score47%1.95
Not both teams to score53%1.76
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.94
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Volga Ulyanovsk to score85%fair 1.18
Chertanovo Moscow to score55%fair 1.81
Volga Ulyanovsk clean sheet45%fair 2.23
Chertanovo Moscow clean sheet15%fair 6.54
Volga Ulyanovsk to win to nil41%fair 2.42
Chertanovo Moscow to win to nil14%fair 7.14
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012.9%
2-012.1%
1-110.3%
2-19.7%
3-07.6%
0-06.9%
Half-time / full-time
Volga Ulyanovsk / Volga Ulyanovsk40.4%
Draw / Volga Ulyanovsk19.8%
Draw / Draw13.7%
Chertanovo Moscow / Chertanovo Moscow8.2%
Draw / Chertanovo Moscow6.2%
Questions about Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?
The model gives Volga Ulyanovsk the best chance at 64%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 50% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?
The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Volga Ulyanovsk find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Chertanovo Moscow in 55%.
When do Volga Ulyanovsk play Chertanovo Moscow?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow starts at 16:30 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.