Al Ahli DohaHomeWLDW
Al WakrahAwayWWWL
Al Ahli DohaHomeWLDW
Al WakrahAwayWWWL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.41 | 3.74 | 2.29 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.38 | 2.77 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah prediction: Al Ahli Doha 2.41 (1xBet), draw 3.74 (1xBet), Al Wakrah 2.29 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 89.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.40 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.56 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.38 (1xBet) and no 2.77 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah prediction for the Stars League on Friday, 16 October 2026: the model calls it close, Al Ahli Doha 37%, draw 22%, Al Wakrah 41%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.70 for Al Ahli Doha and 1.79 for Al Wakrah, a total of 3.49, which puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 69%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Al Ahli Doha or Al Wakrah (no draw) is the main selection, rated 78%. The best price in our comparison is 1.17 at 1xBet, which implies 85%, so the model sits 8 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah.
Over the last 4 matches Al Ahli Doha stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Al Wakrah show 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 4.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 33% and under 3.5 54%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 86% and over 2.5 at 67%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.40 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 69%, built from Al Ahli Doha scoring in 82% of runs and Al Wakrah in 83%; clean sheets come at 17% for Al Ahli Doha and 18% for Al Wakrah.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 69%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah: 1-1 (9.3%), 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Al Wakrah, full-time Al Wakrah is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 37% / 22% / 41% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Al Wakrah the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 22%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 69%. Al Ahli Doha find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Al Wakrah in 83%.
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah starts at 14:30 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.