Division Profesional - Clausura
Deportivo RecoletaHomeLLWDW
3:0Half-time 2:0
Sportivo AmelianoAwayLLDLL332839
Deportivo Recoleta winDrawSportivo Ameliano win
Deportivo RecoletaHomeLLWDWSportivo AmelianoAwayLLDLL- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.73 1.30 : 1.43
- Favourite
- 39% Sportivo Ameliano
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.75 | 3.45 | 2.40 | 1.82 | 1.92 | 1.63 | 2.12 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.62 | 3.28 | 2.62 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.56 | 3.10 | 2.56 | 1.71 | 2.04 | 1.53 | 2.24 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.56 | 3.50 | 2.54 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.59 | 2.28 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.62 | 3.28 | 2.62 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.59 | 2.28 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sportivo Ameliano to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Deportivo Recoleta price at 2.75, Betwinner lead the draw at 3.50 and Melbet have Sportivo Ameliano longest at 2.62.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.82 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.04 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (1xBet) and no 2.28 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
Deportivo Recoleta or Sportivo Ameliano (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.82
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sportivo Ameliano, full-time Sportivo Ameliano
24% chance4.20fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair
Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano prediction
Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano prediction, who wins and at what price
Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano prediction for the Division Profesional - Clausura on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model calls it close, Deportivo Recoleta 33%, draw 28%, Sportivo Ameliano 39%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.30 for Deportivo Recoleta and 1.43 for Sportivo Ameliano, a total of 2.73, which puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 58%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Deportivo Recoleta or Sportivo Ameliano (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. At 1.31 with Melbet the market prices it at 76%, against 72% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano.
Over the last 5 matches Deportivo Recoleta stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Sportivo Ameliano show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 51%, over 3.5 at 29%; under 2.5 is 49% and under 3.5 is 71%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.82.
Both teams to score is 58%: Deportivo Recoleta find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Sportivo Ameliano in 76%. Deportivo Recoleta keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Sportivo Ameliano 27%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.1%, then 0-1 at 9.3% and 1-2 at 8.7%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Sportivo Ameliano, full-time Sportivo Ameliano is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
All markets, Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
The grid built from 1.30 and 1.43 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Deportivo Recoleta to win33%2.75
Draw28%3.50
Sportivo Ameliano to win39%2.62
Deportivo Recoleta, draw no bet46%fair 2.18
Sportivo Ameliano, draw no bet54%fair 1.85
Double chance
Deportivo Recoleta or draw61%1.53
Sportivo Ameliano or draw67%1.47
Deportivo Recoleta or Sportivo Ameliano (no draw)72%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.82
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.41
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.04
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.12
Under 2.5 goals49%2.04
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.63
Not both teams to score42%2.28
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Deportivo Recoleta to score73%fair 1.38
Sportivo Ameliano to score76%fair 1.31
Deportivo Recoleta clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Sportivo Ameliano clean sheet27%fair 3.66
Deportivo Recoleta to win to nil22%fair 4.55
Sportivo Ameliano to win to nil25%fair 3.98
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
0-19.3%
1-28.7%
1-08.5%
2-17.9%
0-26.7%
Half-time / full-time
Sportivo Ameliano / Sportivo Ameliano23.8%
Deportivo Recoleta / Deportivo Recoleta19.9%
Draw / Draw15.2%
Draw / Sportivo Ameliano14%
Draw / Deportivo Recoleta12.2%
Questions about Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The model gives Sportivo Ameliano the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Deportivo Recoleta find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Sportivo Ameliano in 76%.
What time does Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano kick off?
Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano starts at 20:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.