Tromso vs Haugesund prediction

Tromso vs Haugesund prediction, who wins and at what price

Tromso vs Haugesund prediction for the NM Cupen on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes Tromso a strong favourite at 86%, with the draw at 9% and Haugesund at 5%.

Expected goals are 3.11 for Tromso and 0.64 for Haugesund, a total of 3.75, which puts over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 47%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Tromso vs Haugesund is tromso to win, a 86% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.19 at BC.Game, which implies 84%, so the model sits 2 points above the market.

Tromso or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 95% chance, priced -.

The draw sits at only 9%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Tromso have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 11 conceded, Haugesund 3 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 11.

Tromso vs Haugesund over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 89%, over 2.5 at 70%, over 3.5 at 52%; under 2.5 is 30% and under 3.5 is 49%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 70%; BC.Game pay 1.45.

BTTS yes stands at 47%. Tromso score in 96% of simulations against a 5% clean sheet for Haugesund; Haugesund score in 47% while Tromso shut them out 53% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Tromso vs Haugesund: 3-0 (11.8%), 2-0 (11.4%) and 4-0 (9.2%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Tromso, full-time Tromso leads at 63%. A goal before the break is rated 82%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.