NPFL
Kwara UnitedHomeWLDDL
1:2Half-time 0:0
Bendel InsuranceAwayLWLWW582319
Kwara United winDrawBendel Insurance win
Kwara UnitedHomeWLDDLBendel InsuranceAwayLWLWW- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.74 1.81 : 0.93
- Favourite
- 58% Kwara United
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
58%
Our prediction
Kwara United to win
1.72fair
Double chanceKwara United or draw
81% chance1.23fairLost
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.94fairWon
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.98fairWon
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.55fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kwara United, full-time Kwara United
37% chance2.72fairLost
Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance prediction
Our Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance prediction and pick
Kwara United are a narrow favourite in the Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance prediction, rated 58% to win this NPFL match on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Bendel Insurance sit at 19% and the draw at 23%.
Expected goals are 1.81 for Kwara United and 0.93 for Bendel Insurance, a total of 2.74, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 51%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Kwara United to win is the main selection, rated 58%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Kwara United or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance.
Form check: Kwara United have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 7 conceded, Bendel Insurance 3 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 8.
How many goals in Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance reads 76% for over 1.5, 52% for over 2.5 and 30% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 49%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%.
BTTS yes stands at 51%. Kwara United score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for Bendel Insurance; Bendel Insurance score in 61% while Kwara United shut them out 40% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance: 1-0 (11.7%), 1-1 (10.9%) and 2-0 (10.6%).
With the top scoreline at 11.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Kwara United, full-time Kwara United leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Kwara United to win58%fair 1.72
Draw23%fair 4.37
Bendel Insurance to win19%fair 5.24
Kwara United, draw no bet75%fair 1.33
Bendel Insurance, draw no bet25%fair 4.05
Double chance
Kwara United or draw81%fair 1.23
Bendel Insurance or draw42%fair 2.38
Kwara United or Bendel Insurance (no draw)77%fair 1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals52%fair 1.94
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.39
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 6.99
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Under 2.5 goals49%fair 2.06
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.42
BTTS
Both teams to score51%fair 1.98
Not both teams to score49%fair 2.02
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Kwara United to score84%fair 1.20
Bendel Insurance to score61%fair 1.65
Kwara United clean sheet40%fair 2.53
Bendel Insurance clean sheet16%fair 6.10
Kwara United to win to nil36%fair 2.75
Bendel Insurance to win to nil15%fair 6.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-011.7%
1-110.9%
2-010.6%
2-19.8%
0-06.5%
3-06.4%
Half-time / full-time
Kwara United / Kwara United36.7%
Draw / Kwara United18.6%
Draw / Draw14%
Bendel Insurance / Bendel Insurance10.4%
Draw / Bendel Insurance7.4%
Questions about Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance
Kwara United or Bendel Insurance: which side does the model back?
The model gives Kwara United the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Kwara United find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Bendel Insurance in 61%.
What time does Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance kick off?
Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance starts at 15:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.