NPFL
Bendel InsuranceHomeLWLWW
2:1Half-time 0:0
Rivers UnitedAwayWDDLD472627
Bendel Insurance winDrawRivers United win
Bendel InsuranceHomeLWLWWRivers UnitedAwayWDDLD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.44 1.43 : 1.01
- Favourite
- 47% Bendel Insurance
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.35 | 3.32 | 2.02 | 1.67 | 1.84 | 1.82 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.96 | 3.35 | 3.32 | 2.02 | 1.67 | 1.84 | 1.82 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.96 | 3.35 | 3.32 | 2.02 | 1.67 | 1.84 | 1.82 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.96 | 3.35 | 3.32 | 2.02 | 1.67 | 1.84 | 1.82 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Bendel Insurance to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United are 1.96 for Bendel Insurance at Melbet, 3.35 for the draw at Melbet and 3.32 for Rivers United at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.02 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.67 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.84 (Melbet) and no 1.82 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Bendel Insurance or Rivers United (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.67
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bendel Insurance, full-time Bendel Insurance
28% chance3.57fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United prediction
Our Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United prediction and pick
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United prediction for the NPFL on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Bendel Insurance marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 26% and Rivers United at 27%.
Expected goals are 1.43 for Bendel Insurance and 1.01 for Rivers United, a total of 2.44, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 49%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is bendel Insurance or Rivers United (no draw) at 74%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.23. That price implies 81%, 8 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United.
Over the last 5 matches Bendel Insurance stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Rivers United show 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 77%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 44%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.67 at Betwinner.
Both teams to score is 49%: Bendel Insurance find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Rivers United in 64%. Bendel Insurance keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Rivers United 24%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.6%, then 1-0 at 12.5% and 2-1 at 9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Bendel Insurance, full-time Bendel Insurance is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
Every market rated for Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
The grid built from 1.43 and 1.01 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Bendel Insurance to win47%1.96
Draw26%3.35
Rivers United to win27%3.32
Bendel Insurance, draw no bet64%fair 1.56
Rivers United, draw no bet36%fair 2.77
Double chance
Bendel Insurance or draw73%1.24
Rivers United or draw53%1.67
Bendel Insurance or Rivers United (no draw)74%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals44%2.02
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.35
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.90
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.33
Under 2.5 goals56%1.67
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.84
Not both teams to score51%1.82
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.33
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Bendel Insurance to score76%fair 1.31
Rivers United to score64%fair 1.57
Bendel Insurance clean sheet36%fair 2.75
Rivers United clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Bendel Insurance to win to nil34%fair 2.99
Rivers United to win to nil22%fair 4.55
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
1-012.5%
2-19%
2-08.9%
0-18.8%
0-08.7%
Half-time / full-time
Bendel Insurance / Bendel Insurance28%
Draw / Draw17%
Draw / Bendel Insurance16.5%
Rivers United / Rivers United14.9%
Draw / Rivers United10.3%
Questions about Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United
Who is favourite in Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United?
The model gives Bendel Insurance the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Bendel Insurance find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Rivers United in 64%.
When do Bendel Insurance play Rivers United?
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United starts at 15:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.