NPFL
Bendel InsuranceHomeLWLWW
Sun 8 Nov
Niger TornadoesAwayWDWWD592516
Bendel Insurance winDrawNiger Tornadoes win
Bendel InsuranceHomeLWLWWNiger TornadoesAwayWDWWD- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.33 1.61 : 0.72
- Favourite
- 59% Bendel Insurance
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 41% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
59%
Our prediction
Bendel Insurance to win
1.71fair
Double chanceBendel Insurance or draw
83% chance1.20fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.70fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
59% chance1.69fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.48fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.37fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bendel Insurance, full-time Bendel Insurance
37% chance2.74fair
Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes prediction
Our Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes prediction and pick
The Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes prediction leans to Bendel Insurance: 59% against 17% for Niger Tornadoes, with 25% left for the draw, in the NPFL on Sunday, 8 November 2026.
Expected goals are 1.61 for Bendel Insurance and 0.72 for Niger Tornadoes, a total of 2.33, which puts over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 41%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is bendel Insurance to win at 59%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Bendel Insurance or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance.
Bendel Insurance average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Niger Tornadoes 0.8 and 0.2 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes
On the goal lines Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes reads 68% for over 1.5, 41% for over 2.5 and 21% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 59%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 41%, built from Bendel Insurance scoring in 80% of runs and Niger Tornadoes in 51%; clean sheets come at 49% for Bendel Insurance and 20% for Niger Tornadoes.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 15.7%, then 2-0 at 12.6% and 1-1 at 11.3%.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Bendel Insurance, full-time Bendel Insurance leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes
The grid built from 1.61 and 0.72 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Bendel Insurance to win59%fair 1.71
Draw25%fair 4.03
Niger Tornadoes to win17%fair 6.02
Bendel Insurance, draw no bet78%fair 1.28
Niger Tornadoes, draw no bet22%fair 4.52
Double chance
Bendel Insurance or draw83%fair 1.20
Niger Tornadoes or draw41%fair 2.42
Bendel Insurance or Niger Tornadoes (no draw)75%fair 1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.48
Over 2.5 goals41%fair 2.43
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.49
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.09
Under 2.5 goals59%fair 1.70
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.26
BTTS
Both teams to score41%fair 2.44
Not both teams to score59%fair 1.69
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.54
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.55
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39
Team goals
Bendel Insurance to score80%fair 1.25
Niger Tornadoes to score51%fair 1.95
Bendel Insurance clean sheet49%fair 2.05
Niger Tornadoes clean sheet20%fair 5.00
Bendel Insurance to win to nil45%fair 2.23
Niger Tornadoes to win to nil15%fair 6.54
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-015.7%
2-012.6%
1-111.3%
0-09.7%
2-19.1%
0-17%
Half-time / full-time
Bendel Insurance / Bendel Insurance36.5%
Draw / Bendel Insurance20%
Draw / Draw16.8%
Niger Tornadoes / Niger Tornadoes8.8%
Draw / Niger Tornadoes6.9%
Questions about Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes
Bendel Insurance or Niger Tornadoes: which side does the model back?
The model gives Bendel Insurance the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 41% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes?
The BTTS yes line is rated 41%. Bendel Insurance find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Niger Tornadoes in 51%.
When do Bendel Insurance play Niger Tornadoes?
Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes starts at 15:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.