Virsliga
Super NovaHomeWLLLD
Sun 8 Nov
BFC DaugavpilsAwayDWWWW313039
Super Nova winDrawBFC Daugavpils win
Super NovaHomeWLLLDBFC DaugavpilsAwayDWWWW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.13 0.98 : 1.15
- Favourite
- 40% BFC Daugavpils
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 43% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
71%
Our prediction
Super Nova or BFC Daugavpils (no draw)
1.42fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
64% chance1.56fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.75fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.59fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.30fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time BFC Daugavpils, full-time BFC Daugavpils
23% chance4.41fair
First halfFirst-half goal
62% chance1.62fair
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils prediction
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils prediction and best bet
Super Nova host BFC Daugavpils on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Virsliga, and the model has BFC Daugavpils at 40%, the draw at 30% and Super Nova at 31%: that is the Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.13 in total, split 0.98 to Super Nova and 1.15 to BFC Daugavpils. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 36% and both teams to score 43%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is super Nova or BFC Daugavpils (no draw) at 71%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Super Nova average 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded across their last 5, BFC Daugavpils 1.4 and 0.4 across 5.
A low-scoring Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils reads 63% for over 1.5, 36% for over 2.5 and 17% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 64%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 43%, built from Super Nova scoring in 63% of runs and BFC Daugavpils in 68%; clean sheets come at 32% for Super Nova and 38% for BFC Daugavpils.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.7%, followed by 1-1 (13.4%) and 0-0 (11.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time BFC Daugavpils, full-time BFC Daugavpils is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.
Every market rated for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils
The grid built from 0.98 and 1.15 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Super Nova to win31%fair 3.23
Draw30%fair 3.39
BFC Daugavpils to win40%fair 2.53
Super Nova, draw no bet44%fair 2.27
BFC Daugavpils, draw no bet56%fair 1.79
Double chance
Super Nova or draw61%fair 1.65
BFC Daugavpils or draw69%fair 1.45
Super Nova or BFC Daugavpils (no draw)71%fair 1.42
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.59
Over 2.5 goals36%fair 2.78
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 15.38
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.69
Under 2.5 goals64%fair 1.56
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.20
BTTS
Both teams to score43%fair 2.33
Not both teams to score57%fair 1.75
Halves
First-half goal62%fair 1.62
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 4.02
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45
Team goals
Super Nova to score63%fair 1.60
BFC Daugavpils to score68%fair 1.46
Super Nova clean sheet32%fair 3.15
BFC Daugavpils clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Super Nova to win to nil29%fair 3.51
BFC Daugavpils to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
0-113.7%
1-113.4%
0-011.9%
1-011.6%
0-27.9%
1-27.7%
Half-time / full-time
BFC Daugavpils / BFC Daugavpils22.7%
Draw / Draw20.2%
Super Nova / Super Nova17.2%
Draw / BFC Daugavpils15.1%
Draw / Super Nova12.3%
Questions about Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils
Who is favourite in Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
The model gives BFC Daugavpils the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 36%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Super Nova find the net in 63% of simulated matches and BFC Daugavpils in 68%.
When is Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.