Virsliga
FK LiepajaHomeDLWDD
3:3Half-time 1:0
Super NovaAwayWLLLD652114
FK Liepaja winDrawSuper Nova win
FK LiepajaHomeDLWDDSuper NovaAwayWLLLD- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.93 2.07 : 0.86
- Favourite
- 65% FK Liepaja
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for FK Liepaja vs Super Nova
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.40 | 4.25 | 6.25 | 1.60 | 2.15 | 1.75 | 1.93 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.52 | 4.39 | 5.49 | 1.69 | 2.10 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.46 | 4.10 | 6.40 | 1.66 | 2.12 | 1.74 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.52 | 4.39 | 5.49 | 1.69 | 2.10 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.52 | 4.39 | 5.49 | 1.69 | 2.10 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FK Liepaja to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the FK Liepaja vs Super Nova prediction: FK Liepaja 1.52 (Melbet), draw 4.39 (Melbet), Super Nova 6.40 (BC.Game).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.69 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.15 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (Betwinner) and no 1.93 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
65%
Our prediction
FK Liepaja to win
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance8.77fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FK Liepaja, full-time FK Liepaja
43% chance2.34fairLost
FK Liepaja vs Super Nova odds movement
FK Liepaja win1.52unchanged
Draw4.39-0.05
Super Nova win6.40-0.10
Over 2.5 goals1.69unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.15-0.10
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
FK Liepaja vs Super Nova prediction
FK Liepaja vs Super Nova prediction and best bet
FK Liepaja are the clear favourite in the FK Liepaja vs Super Nova prediction, rated 65% to win this Virsliga match on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Super Nova sit at 14% and the draw at 21%.
FK Liepaja are expected to score 2.07 and Super Nova 0.86, so the total line is 2.93 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for FK Liepaja vs Super Nova is fK Liepaja to win, a 65% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.52 at Melbet, which implies 66%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
For a safer line, fK Liepaja or draw covers 86% of outcomes at 1.13.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches FK Liepaja stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Super Nova show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
How many goals in FK Liepaja vs Super Nova? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 44% and under 3.5 66%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 56%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; Betwinner pay 1.69.
Both teams to score is 52%: FK Liepaja find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Super Nova in 58%. FK Liepaja keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Super Nova 13%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for FK Liepaja vs Super Nova: 2-0 (11.4%), 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%).
With the top scoreline at 11.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for FK Liepaja vs Super Nova; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time FK Liepaja, full-time FK Liepaja is the top combination at 43%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
Every market for FK Liepaja vs Super Nova
The grid built from 2.07 and 0.86 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
FK Liepaja to win65%1.52
Draw21%4.39
Super Nova to win14%6.40
FK Liepaja, draw no bet82%fair 1.22
Super Nova, draw no bet18%fair 5.56
Double chance
FK Liepaja or draw86%1.13
Super Nova or draw35%2.53
FK Liepaja or Super Nova (no draw)79%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals56%1.69
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.97
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.78
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.76
Under 2.5 goals44%2.15
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.51
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.87
Not both teams to score48%1.93
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.63
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
FK Liepaja to score87%fair 1.14
Super Nova to score58%fair 1.73
FK Liepaja clean sheet42%fair 2.36
Super Nova clean sheet13%fair 7.94
FK Liepaja to win to nil39%fair 2.57
Super Nova to win to nil12%fair 8.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-011.4%
1-011.1%
2-19.8%
1-19.5%
3-07.9%
3-16.8%
Half-time / full-time
FK Liepaja / FK Liepaja42.8%
Draw / FK Liepaja19.5%
Draw / Draw12%
Super Nova / Super Nova7.9%
Draw / Super Nova5.7%
Questions about FK Liepaja vs Super Nova
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
The model gives FK Liepaja the best chance at 65%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
FK Liepaja vs Super Nova correct score: what does the model say?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. FK Liepaja find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Super Nova in 58%.
When do FK Liepaja play Super Nova?
FK Liepaja vs Super Nova starts at 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.