Virsliga
TukumsHomeDLLDL
Sun 8 Nov
AudaAwayDWLWW242353
Tukums winDrawAuda win
TukumsHomeDLLDLAudaAwayDWLWW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.93 1.13 : 1.80
- Favourite
- 53% Auda
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Tukums vs Auda
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
53%
Our prediction
Auda to win
1.89fair
Double chanceTukums or Auda (no draw)
77% chance1.30fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.78fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.76fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Auda, full-time Auda
33% chance3.01fair
Tukums vs Auda prediction
Tukums vs Auda prediction, who wins and at what price
Auda are a narrow favourite in the Tukums vs Auda prediction, rated 53% to win this Virsliga match on Sunday, 8 November 2026. Tukums sit at 24% and the draw at 23%.
The goal expectancy is 2.93 in total, split 1.13 to Tukums and 1.80 to Auda. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 57%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is auda to win at 53%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
For a safer line, tukums or Auda (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes.
Form check: Tukums have won 0 of their last 5 with 1 scored and 7 conceded, Auda 3 of 5 scoring 13 and conceding 9.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Tukums vs Auda
On the goal lines Tukums vs Auda reads 79% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 57%, built from Tukums scoring in 68% of runs and Auda in 84%; clean sheets come at 17% for Tukums and 32% for Auda.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.9%, then 1-2 at 9.8% and 0-1 at 9.6%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Auda, full-time Auda leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Tukums vs Auda
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 24% / 23% / 53% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Tukums to win24%fair 4.17
Draw23%fair 4.31
Auda to win53%fair 1.89
Tukums, draw no bet31%fair 3.19
Auda, draw no bet69%fair 1.45
Double chance
Tukums or draw47%fair 2.12
Auda or draw76%fair 1.32
Tukums or Auda (no draw)77%fair 1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals56%fair 1.78
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.97
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.78
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.76
Under 2.5 goals44%fair 2.28
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.51
BTTS
Both teams to score57%fair 1.76
Not both teams to score43%fair 2.31
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.63
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Tukums to score68%fair 1.48
Auda to score84%fair 1.20
Tukums clean sheet17%fair 6.06
Auda clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Tukums to win to nil15%fair 6.58
Auda to win to nil30%fair 3.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.9%
1-29.8%
0-19.6%
0-28.7%
2-16.1%
1-06%
Half-time / full-time
Auda / Auda33.2%
Draw / Auda16.9%
Tukums / Tukums13.4%
Draw / Draw13.3%
Draw / Tukums8.7%
Questions about Tukums vs Auda
Who will win Tukums vs Auda?
The model gives Auda the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Tukums vs Auda correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Tukums vs Auda?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Tukums find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Auda in 84%.
What time does Tukums vs Auda kick off?
Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.