Virsliga
GrobiņaHomeDLWLL
Sun 8 Nov
FK LiepajaAwayDLWDD282646
Grobiņa winDrawFK Liepaja win
GrobiņaHomeDLWLLFK LiepajaAwayDLWDD- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.60 1.09 : 1.51
- Favourite
- 47% FK Liepaja
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
74%
Our prediction
Grobiņa or FK Liepaja (no draw)
1.35fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.93fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.93fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FK Liepaja, full-time FK Liepaja
28% chance3.53fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja prediction
Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja prediction and best bet
Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja prediction for the Virsliga on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes FK Liepaja marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 26% and Grobiņa at 28%.
Grobiņa are expected to score 1.09 and FK Liepaja 1.51, so the total line is 2.60 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja is grobiņa or FK Liepaja (no draw), a 74% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Over the last 5 matches Grobiņa stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; FK Liepaja show 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 48%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 52% and under 3.5 is 74%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%.
BTTS yes stands at 52%. Grobiņa score in 66% of simulations against a 34% clean sheet for FK Liepaja; FK Liepaja score in 78% while Grobiņa shut them out 22% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.2%, then 0-1 at 11.2% and 1-2 at 9.2%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FK Liepaja, full-time FK Liepaja leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja
The grid built from 1.09 and 1.51 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Grobiņa to win28%fair 3.62
Draw26%fair 3.89
FK Liepaja to win47%fair 2.14
Grobiņa, draw no bet37%fair 2.70
FK Liepaja, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Double chance
Grobiņa or draw53%fair 1.88
FK Liepaja or draw72%fair 1.38
Grobiņa or FK Liepaja (no draw)74%fair 1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%fair 2.07
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.13
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.75
Under 2.5 goals52%fair 1.93
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score52%fair 1.93
Not both teams to score48%fair 2.08
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.06
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Grobiņa to score66%fair 1.51
FK Liepaja to score78%fair 1.28
Grobiņa clean sheet22%fair 4.52
FK Liepaja clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Grobiņa to win to nil20%fair 4.93
FK Liepaja to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.2%
0-111.2%
1-29.2%
0-28.5%
1-08.1%
0-07.4%
Half-time / full-time
FK Liepaja / FK Liepaja28.3%
Draw / FK Liepaja16.1%
Draw / Draw15.8%
Grobiņa / Grobiņa15.4%
Draw / Grobiņa10.3%
Questions about Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja
Who is favourite in Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
The model gives FK Liepaja the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.
Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Grobiņa find the net in 66% of simulated matches and FK Liepaja in 78%.
When do Grobiņa play FK Liepaja?
Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja starts at 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.