Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction

Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction, who wins and at what price

Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction for the Ligat Ha'al on Monday, 26 October 2026: the model makes Maccabi Haifa marginally ahead at 43%, with the draw at 27% and Hapoel Beer Sheva at 30%.

The goal expectancy is 3.29 in total, split 1.79 to Maccabi Haifa and 1.50 to Hapoel Beer Sheva. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 67%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is maccabi Haifa or Hapoel Beer Sheva (no draw) at 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at Melbet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Form check: Maccabi Haifa have won 3 of their last 4 with 11 scored and 9 conceded, Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 of 5 scoring 13 and conceding 11.

Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 58%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.50 at BC.Game.

BTTS yes stands at 67%. Maccabi Haifa score in 83% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Hapoel Beer Sheva; Hapoel Beer Sheva score in 78% while Maccabi Haifa shut them out 22% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10%, then 2-1 at 9% and 1-2 at 7.5%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Maccabi Haifa, full-time Maccabi Haifa is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.