Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon prediction

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon prediction, who wins and at what price

Hapoel Beer Sheva are the clear favourite in the Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon prediction, rated 75% to win this Ligat Ha'al match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Hapoel Katamon sit at 9% and the draw at 16%.

Expected goals are 2.52 for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 0.79 for Hapoel Katamon, a total of 3.31, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 52%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is hapoel Beer Sheva to win at 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.31 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

For a safer line, hapoel Beer Sheva or draw covers 91% of outcomes at 1.04.

The draw sits at only 16%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Hapoel Beer Sheva stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Hapoel Katamon show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 63%, over 3.5 at 42%; under 2.5 is 37% and under 3.5 is 58%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%; 1xBet pay 1.50.

The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Hapoel Beer Sheva scoring in 92% of runs and Hapoel Katamon in 55%; clean sheets come at 45% for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 8% for Hapoel Katamon.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 11.6%, then 3-0 at 9.7% and 1-0 at 9.2%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Hapoel Beer Sheva, full-time Hapoel Beer Sheva is the top combination at 52%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.