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Live 22 UTC
Persian Gulf Pro League Round 11 Friday, 30 October 2026 Postponed
Esteghlal FCHomeDWWDL
v
Shams Azar QazvinAwayDDL
672310
Esteghlal FC winDrawShams Azar Qazvin win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
2.12
1.66 : 0.46
Favourite
67%
Esteghlal FC
Over 2.5 goals
36%
model chance
Both teams to score
30%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.393.798.002.381.49--Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Esteghlal FC to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin are 1.39 for Esteghlal FC at 1xBet, 3.79 for the draw at 1xBet and 8.00 for Shams Azar Qazvin at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.38 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.49 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

67%

Our prediction

Esteghlal FC to win
BankerExpected goals 1.66 : 0.46-6.3% against the best price
Double chanceEsteghlal FC or draw
90% chance1.02
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
65% chance1.49
BTTSNot both teams to score
70% chance1.42fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.60fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
20% chance5.03fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Esteghlal FC, full-time Esteghlal FC
43% chance2.35fair

Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin prediction

Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin prediction and best bet

The Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin prediction leans to Esteghlal FC: 67% against 10% for Shams Azar Qazvin, with 23% left for the draw, in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Friday, 30 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.12 in total, split 1.66 to Esteghlal FC and 0.46 to Shams Azar Qazvin. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 36% and both teams to score 30%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin is esteghlal FC to win, a 67% chance. At 1.39 with 1xBet the market prices it at 72%, against 67% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin.

Esteghlal FC or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 90% chance, priced 1.02.

Form check: Esteghlal FC have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 5 conceded, Shams Azar Qazvin 0 of 3 scoring 1 and conceding 3.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 63%, over 2.5 at 36%, over 3.5 at 17%; under 2.5 is 65% and under 3.5 is 84%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; 1xBet pay 1.49.

The chance of both teams scoring is 30%, built from Esteghlal FC scoring in 81% of runs and Shams Azar Qazvin in 37%; clean sheets come at 63% for Esteghlal FC and 19% for Shams Azar Qazvin.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 70%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 19.9%, followed by 2-0 (16.5%) and 0-0 (12%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Esteghlal FC, full-time Esteghlal FC leads at 43%. A goal before the break is rated 62%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 67% / 23% / 10% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Esteghlal FC to win67%1.39
Draw23%3.79
Shams Azar Qazvin to win10%8.00
Esteghlal FC, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
Shams Azar Qazvin, draw no bet13%fair 7.81

Double chance

Esteghlal FC or draw90%1.02
Shams Azar Qazvin or draw33%2.57
Esteghlal FC or Shams Azar Qazvin (no draw)77%1.18

Goals

Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.60
Over 2.5 goals36%2.38
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 15.63
Under 1.5 goals38%fair 2.67
Under 2.5 goals65%1.49
Under 3.5 goals84%fair 1.20

BTTS

Both teams to score30%fair 3.37
Not both teams to score70%fair 1.42

Halves

First-half goal62%fair 1.63
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 4.05
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45

Team goals

Esteghlal FC to score81%fair 1.23
Shams Azar Qazvin to score37%fair 2.71
Esteghlal FC clean sheet63%fair 1.58
Shams Azar Qazvin clean sheet19%fair 5.26
Esteghlal FC to win to nil58%fair 1.72
Shams Azar Qazvin to win to nil9%fair 10.99

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

1-019.9%
2-016.5%
0-012%
1-19.2%
3-09.2%
2-17.6%

Half-time / full-time

Esteghlal FC / Esteghlal FC42.5%
Draw / Esteghlal FC22.9%
Draw / Draw17.3%
Shams Azar Qazvin / Shams Azar Qazvin5%
Draw / Shams Azar Qazvin4.5%

Questions about Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin

Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

The model gives Esteghlal FC the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 19.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 36% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

The BTTS yes line is rated 30%. Esteghlal FC find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Shams Azar Qazvin in 37%.

When is Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin and where is the result shown?

Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin starts at 14:15 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Esteghlal FC v Shams Azar QazvinEsteghlal FC to win, 67%
1.39Bet