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Persian Gulf Pro League Round 10 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
Esteghlal KhuzestanHomeLLWD
2:0Half-time 0:0
Shams Azar QazvinAwayDDL
363331
Esteghlal Khuzestan winDrawShams Azar Qazvin win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
1.84
0.97 : 0.87
Favourite
36%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Over 2.5 goals
27%
model chance
Both teams to score
38%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.472.732.992.971.302.341.52Bet
BC.Game2.502.762.982.961.352.321.50Bet
Betwinner2.472.732.992.971.302.341.52Bet
Melbet2.472.732.992.971.302.341.52Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Esteghlal Khuzestan to win partner prices

BC.Game pay the best Esteghlal Khuzestan price at 2.50, BC.Game lead the draw at 2.76 and 1xBet have Shams Azar Qazvin longest at 2.99.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 91.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.97 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.35 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.34 (1xBet) and no 1.52 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

69%

Our prediction

Esteghlal Khuzestan or draw
LeanExpected goals 0.97 : 0.87-9.3% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
73% chance1.35
BTTSNot both teams to score
62% chance1.52
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
55% chance1.82fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
16% chance6.29fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
24% chance4.20fair
First halfFirst-half goal
56% chance1.78fair

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin prediction

Our Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin prediction and pick

The Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Persian Gulf Pro League on Sunday, 25 October 2026 gives Esteghlal Khuzestan a 36% chance, Shams Azar Qazvin 31% and the draw 33%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 1.84 in total, split 0.97 to Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.87 to Shams Azar Qazvin. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 27% and both teams to score 38%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin is esteghlal Khuzestan or draw, a 69% chance. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 7 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

A 33% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Esteghlal Khuzestan average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 4, Shams Azar Qazvin 0.3 and 1.0 across 3.

A low-scoring Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 73% and under 3.5 89%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 55% and over 2.5 at 27%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 73%; BC.Game pay 1.35.

Both teams to score is 38%: Esteghlal Khuzestan find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Shams Azar Qazvin in 58%. Esteghlal Khuzestan keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Shams Azar Qazvin 38%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 0-0 leads at 15.9%, then 1-0 at 15.4% and 0-1 at 13.8%.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 56%.

All markets, Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin

The grid built from 0.97 and 0.87 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Esteghlal Khuzestan to win36%2.50
Draw33%2.76
Shams Azar Qazvin to win31%2.99
Esteghlal Khuzestan, draw no bet54%fair 1.85
Shams Azar Qazvin, draw no bet46%fair 2.18

Double chance

Esteghlal Khuzestan or draw69%1.31
Shams Azar Qazvin or draw64%1.43
Esteghlal Khuzestan or Shams Azar Qazvin (no draw)67%1.36

Goals

Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 goals55%fair 1.82
Over 2.5 goals27%2.97
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.70
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 25.64
Under 1.5 goals45%fair 2.22
Under 2.5 goals73%1.35
Under 3.5 goals89%fair 1.13

BTTS

Both teams to score38%2.34
Not both teams to score62%1.52

Halves

First-half goal56%fair 1.78
Over 1.5 first-half goals20%fair 4.98
Second-half goal64%fair 1.57

Team goals

Esteghlal Khuzestan to score62%fair 1.61
Shams Azar Qazvin to score58%fair 1.72
Esteghlal Khuzestan clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Shams Azar Qazvin clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Esteghlal Khuzestan to win to nil34%fair 2.99
Shams Azar Qazvin to win to nil28%fair 3.53

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95

Most likely scores

0-015.9%
1-015.4%
0-113.8%
1-113.4%
2-07.5%
2-16.5%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw23.8%
Esteghlal Khuzestan / Esteghlal Khuzestan20.4%
Shams Azar Qazvin / Shams Azar Qazvin17.1%
Draw / Esteghlal Khuzestan14.8%
Draw / Shams Azar Qazvin12.9%

Questions about Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin

Who will win Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

The model gives Esteghlal Khuzestan the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 33%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 27%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

The BTTS yes line is rated 38%. Esteghlal Khuzestan find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Shams Azar Qazvin in 58%.

When do Esteghlal Khuzestan play Shams Azar Qazvin?

Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Esteghlal Khuzestan v Shams Azar QazvinEsteghlal Khuzestan or draw, 69%
1.31Bet