Esteghlal KhuzestanHomeLLWD
Esteghlal KhuzestanHomeLLWD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.84 0.97 : 0.87
- Favourite
- 36% Esteghlal Khuzestan
- Over 2.5 goals
- 27% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 38% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.47 | 2.73 | 2.99 | 2.97 | 1.30 | 2.34 | 1.52 | Bet | |
| 2.50 | 2.76 | 2.98 | 2.96 | 1.35 | 2.32 | 1.50 | Bet | |
| 2.47 | 2.73 | 2.99 | 2.97 | 1.30 | 2.34 | 1.52 | Bet | |
| 2.47 | 2.73 | 2.99 | 2.97 | 1.30 | 2.34 | 1.52 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
BC.Game pay the best Esteghlal Khuzestan price at 2.50, BC.Game lead the draw at 2.76 and 1xBet have Shams Azar Qazvin longest at 2.99.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 91.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.97 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.35 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.34 (1xBet) and no 1.52 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin prediction
Our Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin prediction and pick
The Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Persian Gulf Pro League on Sunday, 25 October 2026 gives Esteghlal Khuzestan a 36% chance, Shams Azar Qazvin 31% and the draw 33%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
The goal expectancy is 1.84 in total, split 0.97 to Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.87 to Shams Azar Qazvin. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 27% and both teams to score 38%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin is esteghlal Khuzestan or draw, a 69% chance. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 7 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A 33% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Esteghlal Khuzestan average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 4, Shams Azar Qazvin 0.3 and 1.0 across 3.
A low-scoring Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 73% and under 3.5 89%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 55% and over 2.5 at 27%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 73%; BC.Game pay 1.35.
Both teams to score is 38%: Esteghlal Khuzestan find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Shams Azar Qazvin in 58%. Esteghlal Khuzestan keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Shams Azar Qazvin 38%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Correct score: 0-0 leads at 15.9%, then 1-0 at 15.4% and 0-1 at 13.8%.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 56%.
All markets, Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
The grid built from 0.97 and 0.87 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
Questions about Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
Who will win Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
The model gives Esteghlal Khuzestan the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 33%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 27%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
The BTTS yes line is rated 38%. Esteghlal Khuzestan find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Shams Azar Qazvin in 58%.
When do Esteghlal Khuzestan play Shams Azar Qazvin?
Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.
