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Live 11 UTC
Persian Gulf Pro League Round 11 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
Foolad FCHomeWWDWW
1:0Half-time 1:0
Aluminium ArakAwayDLLDL
463222
Foolad FC winDrawAluminium Arak win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
1.72
1.08 : 0.64
Favourite
46%
Foolad FC
Over 2.5 goals
24%
model chance
Both teams to score
32%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Foolad FC vs Aluminium Arak

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.992.813.983.311.262.651.40Bet
22Bet2.073.143.822.941.412.471.54Bet
BC.Game2.022.883.903.001.352.421.46Bet
Betwinner2.073.143.822.941.412.471.54Bet
Melbet2.073.143.822.941.412.471.54Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Foolad FC to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Foolad FC vs Aluminium Arak are 2.07 for Foolad FC at Melbet, 3.14 for the draw at Melbet and 3.98 for Aluminium Arak at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 3.31 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.41 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.65 (1xBet) and no 1.54 (Betwinner).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

78%

Our prediction

Foolad FC or draw
StrongExpected goals 1.08 : 0.64-2.4% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
76% chance1.41
BTTSNot both teams to score
68% chance1.54
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
51% chance1.95fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
19% chance5.18fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Foolad FC, full-time Foolad FC
26% chance3.80fair
First halfFirst-half goal
54% chance1.86fair

Foolad FC vs Aluminium Arak prediction

Foolad FC vs Aluminium Arak prediction and best bet

Foolad FC vs Aluminium Arak prediction for the Persian Gulf Pro League on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes Foolad FC marginally ahead at 46%, with the draw at 32% and Aluminium Arak at 22%.

Foolad FC are expected to score 1.08 and Aluminium Arak 0.64, so the total line is 1.72 goals; over 2.5 lands at 24% and BTTS at 32%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is foolad FC or draw at 78%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at Melbet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

The draw is live at 32%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Over the last 5 matches Foolad FC stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Aluminium Arak show 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Foolad FC vs Aluminium Arak

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 51%, over 2.5 at 24%, over 3.5 at 10%; under 2.5 is 76% and under 3.5 is 90%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 76%, best priced 1.41 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 32%. Foolad FC score in 66% of simulations against a 34% clean sheet for Aluminium Arak; Aluminium Arak score in 47% while Foolad FC shut them out 53% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Foolad FC vs Aluminium Arak: 1-0 (19.3%), 0-0 (17.9%) and 1-1 (12.4%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Foolad FC, full-time Foolad FC is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 54%.

Every market rated for Foolad FC vs Aluminium Arak

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 46% / 32% / 22% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Foolad FC to win46%2.07
Draw32%3.14
Aluminium Arak to win22%3.98
Foolad FC, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Aluminium Arak, draw no bet32%fair 3.11

Double chance

Foolad FC or draw78%1.25
Aluminium Arak or draw54%1.72
Foolad FC or Aluminium Arak (no draw)68%1.34

Goals

Over 0.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 1.5 goals51%fair 1.95
Over 2.5 goals24%3.31
Over 3.5 goals10%fair 10.42
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 32.26
Under 1.5 goals49%fair 2.05
Under 2.5 goals76%1.41
Under 3.5 goals90%fair 1.11

BTTS

Both teams to score32%2.65
Not both teams to score68%1.54

Halves

First-half goal54%fair 1.86
Over 1.5 first-half goals18%fair 5.49
Second-half goal61%fair 1.63

Team goals

Foolad FC to score66%fair 1.52
Aluminium Arak to score47%fair 2.11
Foolad FC clean sheet53%fair 1.90
Aluminium Arak clean sheet34%fair 2.94
Foolad FC to win to nil42%fair 2.36
Aluminium Arak to win to nil20%fair 4.98

Odd or even

Odd number of goals48%fair 2.07
Even number of goals52%fair 1.94

Most likely scores

1-019.3%
0-017.9%
1-112.4%
0-111.5%
2-010.4%
2-16.7%

Half-time / full-time

Foolad FC / Foolad FC26.3%
Draw / Draw25%
Draw / Foolad FC18.3%
Aluminium Arak / Aluminium Arak11.3%
Draw / Aluminium Arak9.5%

Questions about Foolad FC vs Aluminium Arak

Foolad FC or Aluminium Arak: which side does the model back?

The model gives Foolad FC the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 32%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Foolad FC vs Aluminium Arak?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 19.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 24% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Foolad FC vs Aluminium Arak?

The BTTS yes line is rated 32%. Foolad FC find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Aluminium Arak in 47%.

When do Foolad FC play Aluminium Arak?

Foolad FC vs Aluminium Arak starts at 14:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Foolad FC v Aluminium ArakFoolad FC or draw, 78%
1.25Bet