NB I
VasasHomeDLLWD
0:2Half-time 0:0
PaksAwayWLWWL432433
Vasas winDrawPaks win
VasasHomeDLLWDPaksAwayWLWWL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.61 1.93 : 1.68
- Favourite
- 43% Vasas
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 72% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Vasas vs Paks
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.72 | 2.52 | 1.32 | 2.88 | 1.32 | 3.05 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.30 | 3.76 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.36 | 2.99 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.24 | 3.75 | 2.66 | 1.36 | 2.94 | 1.32 | 2.96 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.30 | 3.76 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.36 | 2.99 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.21 | 3.72 | 2.52 | 1.32 | 2.88 | 1.32 | 3.05 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Vasas to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Vasas vs Paks are 2.30 for Vasas at 22Bet, 3.76 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.70 for Paks at 22Bet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.36 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 3.00 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.36 (22Bet) and no 3.05 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
77%
Our prediction
Vasas or Paks (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.36
BTTSBoth teams to score
72% chance1.36
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.14fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance11.36fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Vasas, full-time Vasas
27% chance3.65fair
First halfFirst-half goal
80% chance1.25fair
Vasas vs Paks prediction
Vasas vs Paks prediction, who wins and at what price
The Vasas vs Paks prediction leans to Vasas: 43% against 33% for Paks, with 24% left for the draw, in the NB I on Sunday, 25 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.93 for Vasas and 1.68 for Paks, a total of 3.61, which puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 72%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is vasas or Paks (no draw) at 77%. At 1.24 with Betwinner the market prices it at 81%, against 77% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Vasas vs Paks.
Over the last 5 matches Vasas stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Paks show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Vasas vs Paks with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 31% and under 3.5 51%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 88% and over 2.5 at 69%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%; Betwinner pay 1.36.
The chance of both teams scoring is 72%, built from Vasas scoring in 86% of runs and Paks in 81%; clean sheets come at 19% for Vasas and 15% for Paks.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 72%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Vasas vs Paks: 1-1 (8.8%), 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 8.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Vasas, full-time Vasas leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Vasas vs Paks
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 43% / 24% / 33% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Vasas to win43%2.30
Draw24%3.76
Paks to win33%2.70
Vasas, draw no bet56%fair 1.77
Paks, draw no bet44%fair 2.29
Double chance
Vasas or draw67%1.43
Paks or draw57%1.57
Vasas or Paks (no draw)77%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 2.5 goals69%1.36
Over 3.5 goals49%fair 2.05
Over 4.5 goals30%fair 3.39
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 8.00
Under 2.5 goals31%3.00
Under 3.5 goals51%fair 1.95
BTTS
Both teams to score72%1.36
Not both teams to score29%3.05
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.07
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
Vasas to score86%fair 1.17
Paks to score81%fair 1.23
Vasas clean sheet19%fair 5.38
Paks clean sheet15%fair 6.90
Vasas to win to nil17%fair 5.85
Paks to win to nil13%fair 7.46
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-18.8%
2-18.5%
1-27.4%
2-27.1%
3-15.4%
1-05.2%
Half-time / full-time
Vasas / Vasas27.4%
Paks / Paks20.4%
Draw / Vasas13.3%
Draw / Paks10.8%
Draw / Draw10.8%
Questions about Vasas vs Paks
Who will win Vasas vs Paks?
The model gives Vasas the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Vasas vs Paks?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 69% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Vasas vs Paks?
The BTTS yes line is rated 72%. Vasas find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Paks in 81%.
What time does Vasas vs Paks kick off?
Kick-off is 12:15 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.