NB I
PaksHomeWLWWL
Sat 7 Nov
Zalaegerszegi TEAwayWLDWW532225
Paks winDrawZalaegerszegi TE win
PaksHomeWLWWLZalaegerszegi TEAwayWLDWW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.31 2.00 : 1.31
- Favourite
- 53% Paks
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
53%
Our prediction
Paks to win
1.88fair
Double chancePaks or Zalaegerszegi TE (no draw)
78% chance1.28fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
64% chance1.56fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.58fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.42fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Paks, full-time Paks
34% chance2.95fair
Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE prediction
Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE prediction, who wins and at what price
Paks host Zalaegerszegi TE on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the NB I, and the model has Paks at 53%, the draw at 22% and Zalaegerszegi TE at 25%: that is the Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 2.00 for Paks and 1.31 for Zalaegerszegi TE, a total of 3.31, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 63%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Paks to win is the main selection, rated 53%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
For a safer line, paks or Zalaegerszegi TE (no draw) covers 78% of outcomes.
The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Form check: Paks have won 3 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 5 conceded, Zalaegerszegi TE 3 of 5 scoring 12 and conceding 6.
Goals forecast for Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE reads 84% for over 1.5, 64% for over 2.5 and 42% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 36%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%.
Both teams to score is 63%: Paks find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Zalaegerszegi TE in 73%. Paks keep a clean sheet 27% of the time and Zalaegerszegi TE 14%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.6%, then 2-1 at 9.6% and 1-0 at 7.3%.
With the top scoreline at 9.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Paks, full-time Paks is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.
Every market rated for Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 53% / 22% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Paks to win53%fair 1.88
Draw22%fair 4.61
Zalaegerszegi TE to win25%fair 3.98
Paks, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Zalaegerszegi TE, draw no bet32%fair 3.13
Double chance
Paks or draw75%fair 1.33
Zalaegerszegi TE or draw47%fair 2.14
Paks or Zalaegerszegi TE (no draw)78%fair 1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals64%fair 1.56
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.37
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.18
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.37
Under 2.5 goals36%fair 2.80
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.73
BTTS
Both teams to score63%fair 1.58
Not both teams to score37%fair 2.72
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.28
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
Paks to score87%fair 1.16
Zalaegerszegi TE to score73%fair 1.37
Paks clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Zalaegerszegi TE clean sheet14%fair 7.41
Paks to win to nil25%fair 4.03
Zalaegerszegi TE to win to nil13%fair 8.00
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.6%
2-19.6%
1-07.3%
2-07.3%
3-16.4%
1-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
Paks / Paks33.9%
Draw / Paks16%
Zalaegerszegi TE / Zalaegerszegi TE14.3%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Draw / Zalaegerszegi TE8.6%
Questions about Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE
Who is favourite in Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
The model gives Paks the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 64%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Paks find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Zalaegerszegi TE in 73%.
What time does Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE kick off?
Kick-off is 12:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.