Guatemala Liga Nacional
XelajúHomeLWLWD
Tue 3 Nov
MarquenseAwayDDWLD592417
Xelajú winDrawMarquense win
XelajúHomeLWLWDMarquenseAwayDDWLD- Kick-off Tue 3 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.53 1.72 : 0.81
- Favourite
- 59% Xelajú
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 45% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Xelajú vs Marquense odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
59%
Our prediction
Xelajú to win
1.69fair
Double chanceXelajú or draw
83% chance1.21fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.86fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.83fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.30fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Xelajú, full-time Xelajú
37% chance2.70fair
Xelajú v Marquense head to head
1Xelajú wins
0Draws
0Marquense wins
- 6 Sep 26Marquense0:4Xelajú
1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Xelajú scored 4, Marquense scored 0.
Xelajú vs Marquense prediction
Xelajú vs Marquense prediction and best bet
Xelajú host Marquense on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 in the Guatemala Liga Nacional, and the model has Xelajú at 59%, the draw at 24% and Marquense at 17%: that is the Xelajú vs Marquense prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.53 in total, split 1.72 to Xelajú and 0.81 to Marquense. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 45%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Xelajú to win is the main selection, rated 59%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
For a safer line, xelajú or draw covers 83% of outcomes.
Over the last 5 matches Xelajú stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Marquense show 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Xelajú vs Marquense? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 46%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%.
BTTS yes stands at 45%. Xelajú score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for Marquense; Marquense score in 56% while Xelajú shut them out 45% of the time.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.7%, then 2-0 at 11.8% and 1-1 at 11.1%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Xelajú, full-time Xelajú is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
Every market for Xelajú vs Marquense
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Xelajú vs Marquense, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Xelajú to win59%fair 1.69
Draw24%fair 4.24
Marquense to win17%fair 5.78
Xelajú, draw no bet77%fair 1.29
Marquense, draw no bet23%fair 4.42
Double chance
Xelajú or draw83%fair 1.21
Marquense or draw41%fair 2.44
Xelajú or Marquense (no draw)76%fair 1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%fair 2.16
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.85
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.56
Under 2.5 goals54%fair 1.86
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33
BTTS
Both teams to score45%fair 2.20
Not both teams to score55%fair 1.83
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.17
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Xelajú to score82%fair 1.22
Marquense to score56%fair 1.80
Xelajú clean sheet45%fair 2.25
Marquense clean sheet18%fair 5.59
Xelajú to win to nil41%fair 2.44
Marquense to win to nil16%fair 6.29
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-013.7%
2-011.8%
1-111.1%
2-19.5%
0-08%
3-06.8%
Half-time / full-time
Xelajú / Xelajú37.1%
Draw / Xelajú19.4%
Draw / Draw15.2%
Marquense / Marquense9.4%
Draw / Marquense7%
Questions about Xelajú vs Marquense
Xelajú or Marquense: which side does the model back?
The model gives Xelajú the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Xelajú vs Marquense?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Xelajú vs Marquense?
The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Xelajú find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Marquense in 56%.
When do Xelajú play Marquense?
Xelajú vs Marquense starts at 21:00 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.