Guatemala Liga Nacional
MunicipalHomeDDLWL
Sat 7 Nov
AuroraAwayWWDWL602317
Municipal winDrawAurora win
MunicipalHomeDDLWLAuroraAwayWWDWL- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.66 1.81 : 0.85
- Favourite
- 60% Municipal
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Municipal vs Aurora
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
60%
Our prediction
Municipal to win
1.66fair
Double chanceMunicipal or draw
83% chance1.21fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.98fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.91fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Municipal, full-time Municipal
38% chance2.62fair
Municipal v Aurora head to head
1Municipal wins
0Draws
0Aurora wins
- 10 Sep 26Aurora1:2Municipal
1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: Municipal scored 2, Aurora scored 1.
Municipal vs Aurora prediction
Municipal vs Aurora prediction and best bet
Municipal host Aurora on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the Guatemala Liga Nacional, and the model has Municipal at 60%, the draw at 23% and Aurora at 17%: that is the Municipal vs Aurora prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.66 in total, split 1.81 to Municipal and 0.85 to Aurora. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 50% and both teams to score 48%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is municipal to win at 60%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Municipal or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance.
Municipal average 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Aurora 1.8 and 1.2 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Municipal vs Aurora
Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 72%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 50%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%.
Both teams to score is 48%: Municipal find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Aurora in 57%. Municipal keep a clean sheet 43% of the time and Aurora 16%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Municipal vs Aurora: 1-0 (12.7%), 2-0 (11.5%) and 1-1 (10.8%).
With the top scoreline at 12.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Municipal vs Aurora; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Municipal, full-time Municipal leads at 38%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Municipal vs Aurora
The grid built from 1.81 and 0.85 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Municipal to win60%fair 1.66
Draw23%fair 4.41
Aurora to win17%fair 5.81
Municipal, draw no bet78%fair 1.29
Aurora, draw no bet22%fair 4.50
Double chance
Municipal or draw83%fair 1.21
Aurora or draw40%fair 2.51
Municipal or Aurora (no draw)77%fair 1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals50%fair 2.02
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.91
Under 2.5 goals51%fair 1.98
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score48%fair 2.10
Not both teams to score52%fair 1.91
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.98
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Municipal to score84%fair 1.20
Aurora to score57%fair 1.75
Municipal clean sheet43%fair 2.34
Aurora clean sheet16%fair 6.10
Municipal to win to nil39%fair 2.54
Aurora to win to nil15%fair 6.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012.7%
2-011.5%
1-110.8%
2-19.7%
0-07%
3-06.9%
Half-time / full-time
Municipal / Municipal38.1%
Draw / Municipal19.3%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Aurora / Aurora9.3%
Draw / Aurora6.9%
Questions about Municipal vs Aurora
Municipal or Aurora: which side does the model back?
The model gives Municipal the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Municipal vs Aurora correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 50%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Municipal vs Aurora?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Municipal find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Aurora in 57%.
What time does Municipal vs Aurora kick off?
Kick-off is 23:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.