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Live 29 UTC
3. Liga Round 11 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
Rot-Weiß EssenHomeWLWLW
1:0Half-time 1:0
SSV Jahn RegensburgAwayWDDLW
552223
Rot-Weiß Essen winDrawSSV Jahn Regensburg win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
3.42
2.09 : 1.33
Favourite
55%
Rot-Weiß Essen
Over 2.5 goals
65%
model chance
Both teams to score
67%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.763.883.581.392.591.412.66Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Rot-Weiß Essen to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Rot-Weiß Essen price at 1.76, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.88 and 1xBet have SSV Jahn Regensburg longest at 3.58.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.39 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.59 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.41 (1xBet) and no 2.66 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

55%

Our prediction

Rot-Weiß Essen to win
StrongExpected goals 2.09 : 1.33-3.7% against the best price
Double chanceRot-Weiß Essen or SSV Jahn Regensburg (no draw)
78% chance1.18
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.39
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.41
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Rot-Weiß Essen, full-time Rot-Weiß Essen
35% chance2.84fair

Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg prediction

Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg prediction, who wins and at what price

Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg prediction for the 3. Liga on Friday, 23 October 2026: the model makes Rot-Weiß Essen a narrow favourite at 55%, with the draw at 22% and SSV Jahn Regensburg at 24%.

Expected goals are 2.09 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 1.33 for SSV Jahn Regensburg, a total of 3.42, which puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 67%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is rot-Weiß Essen to win at 55%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.76. That price implies 57%, 2 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg.

Rot-Weiß Essen or SSV Jahn Regensburg (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.18.

With the draw down at 22%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Rot-Weiß Essen stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; SSV Jahn Regensburg show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 86%, over 2.5 at 65%, over 3.5 at 45%; under 2.5 is 35% and under 3.5 is 55%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.39 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 67%, built from Rot-Weiß Essen scoring in 88% of runs and SSV Jahn Regensburg in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Rot-Weiß Essen and 12% for SSV Jahn Regensburg.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: 2-1 (9.5%), 1-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.1%).

With the top scoreline at 9.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Rot-Weiß Essen, full-time Rot-Weiß Essen leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Rot-Weiß Essen to win55%1.76
Draw22%3.88
SSV Jahn Regensburg to win24%3.58
Rot-Weiß Essen, draw no bet70%fair 1.43
SSV Jahn Regensburg, draw no bet30%fair 3.32

Double chance

Rot-Weiß Essen or draw77%1.21
SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw45%1.86
Rot-Weiß Essen or SSV Jahn Regensburg (no draw)78%1.18

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals65%1.39
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.24
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.86
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.90
Under 2.5 goals35%2.59
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.81

BTTS

Both teams to score67%1.41
Not both teams to score33%2.66

Halves

First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.20
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18

Team goals

Rot-Weiß Essen to score88%fair 1.14
SSV Jahn Regensburg to score74%fair 1.36
Rot-Weiß Essen clean sheet26%fair 3.79
SSV Jahn Regensburg clean sheet12%fair 8.06
Rot-Weiß Essen to win to nil24%fair 4.12
SSV Jahn Regensburg to win to nil11%fair 8.77

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.5%
1-19.1%
2-07.1%
1-06.8%
3-16.6%
2-26.3%

Half-time / full-time

Rot-Weiß Essen / Rot-Weiß Essen35.2%
Draw / Rot-Weiß Essen16.1%
SSV Jahn Regensburg / SSV Jahn Regensburg13.8%
Draw / Draw11%
Draw / SSV Jahn Regensburg8.3%

Questions about Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

Rot-Weiß Essen or SSV Jahn Regensburg: which side does the model back?

The model gives Rot-Weiß Essen the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 65% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?

The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Rot-Weiß Essen find the net in 88% of simulated matches and SSV Jahn Regensburg in 74%.

When do Rot-Weiß Essen play SSV Jahn Regensburg?

Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Rot-Weiß Essen v SSV Jahn RegensburgRot-Weiß Essen to win, 55%
1.76Bet