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Live 35 UTC
3. Liga Round 11 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
HavelseHomeLDDWD
3:2Half-time 1:1
FC SaarbrückenAwayDLWLW
212059
Havelse winDrawFC Saarbrücken win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
3.58
1.31 : 2.27
Favourite
59%
FC Saarbrücken
Over 2.5 goals
69%
model chance
Both teams to score
67%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.284.201.581.352.741.422.62Bet
BC.Game---1.402.76--Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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FC Saarbrücken to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Havelse price at 4.28, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.20 and 1xBet have FC Saarbrücken longest at 1.58.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.40 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.76 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.42 (1xBet) and no 2.62 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

59%

Our prediction

FC Saarbrücken to win
StrongExpected goals 1.31 : 2.27-7.1% against the best price
Double chanceHavelse or FC Saarbrücken (no draw)
80% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.40
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.42
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance10.64fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Saarbrücken, full-time FC Saarbrücken
39% chance2.59fair

Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken prediction

Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken prediction, who wins and at what price

Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken prediction for the 3. Liga on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes FC Saarbrücken a narrow favourite at 59%, with the draw at 20% and Havelse at 21%.

The goal expectancy is 3.58 in total, split 1.31 to Havelse and 2.27 to FC Saarbrücken. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 69% and both teams to score 67%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

FC Saarbrücken to win is the main selection, rated 59%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.58. That price implies 63%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken.

For a safer line, havelse or FC Saarbrücken (no draw) covers 80% of outcomes at 1.15.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Havelse stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; FC Saarbrücken show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken reads 87% for over 1.5, 69% for over 2.5 and 48% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 31%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.40 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 67%: Havelse find the net in 73% of simulated matches and FC Saarbrücken in 90%. Havelse keep a clean sheet 10% of the time and FC Saarbrücken 27%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken: 1-2 (9.4%), 1-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.2%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time FC Saarbrücken, full-time FC Saarbrücken is the top combination at 39%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.

Every market rated for Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken

The grid built from 1.31 and 2.27 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Havelse to win21%4.28
Draw20%4.20
FC Saarbrücken to win59%1.58
Havelse, draw no bet26%fair 3.82
FC Saarbrücken, draw no bet74%fair 1.36

Double chance

Havelse or draw41%2.12
FC Saarbrücken or draw79%1.15
Havelse or FC Saarbrücken (no draw)80%1.15

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%1.40
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.08
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.45
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 2.5 goals31%2.76
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.92

BTTS

Both teams to score67%1.42
Not both teams to score33%2.62

Halves

First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.09
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16

Team goals

Havelse to score73%fair 1.37
FC Saarbrücken to score90%fair 1.11
Havelse clean sheet10%fair 9.71
FC Saarbrücken clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Havelse to win to nil10%fair 10.53
FC Saarbrücken to win to nil25%fair 4.03

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-29.4%
1-18.3%
0-27.2%
1-37.1%
0-16.3%
2-26.2%

Half-time / full-time

FC Saarbrücken / FC Saarbrücken38.6%
Draw / FC Saarbrücken16.6%
Havelse / Havelse12.1%
Draw / Draw10.1%
Draw / Havelse7.3%

Questions about Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken

Havelse or FC Saarbrücken: which side does the model back?

The model gives FC Saarbrücken the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken?

1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 69% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken?

The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Havelse find the net in 73% of simulated matches and FC Saarbrücken in 90%.

When is Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Havelse v FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken to win, 59%
1.58Bet