3. Liga
FC Ingolstadt 04HomeLWWWD
2:1Half-time 1:1
MSV DuisburgAwayWWDLD302545
FC Ingolstadt 04 winDrawMSV Duisburg win
FC Ingolstadt 04HomeLWWWDMSV DuisburgAwayWWDLD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.19 1.41 : 1.78
- Favourite
- 46% MSV Duisburg
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 64% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.99 | 3.48 | 2.07 | 1.51 | 2.26 | 1.47 | 2.47 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
MSV Duisburg to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best FC Ingolstadt 04 price at 2.99, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.48 and 1xBet have MSV Duisburg longest at 2.07.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.51 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.26 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.47 (1xBet) and no 2.47 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
FC Ingolstadt 04 or MSV Duisburg (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.51
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.47
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time MSV Duisburg, full-time MSV Duisburg
29% chance3.50fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.31fair
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg prediction
Our FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg prediction and pick
The FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg prediction leans to MSV Duisburg: 46% against 30% for FC Ingolstadt 04, with 25% left for the draw, in the 3. Liga on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
FC Ingolstadt 04 are expected to score 1.41 and MSV Duisburg 1.78, so the total line is 3.19 goals; over 2.5 lands at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg is fC Ingolstadt 04 or MSV Duisburg (no draw), a 75% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.22 at 1xBet, which implies 82%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg.
Form check: FC Ingolstadt 04 have won 3 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 6 conceded, MSV Duisburg 2 of 5 scoring 12 and conceding 10.
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 38% and under 3.5 61%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 83% and over 2.5 at 62%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.51 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 64%. FC Ingolstadt 04 score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for MSV Duisburg; MSV Duisburg score in 83% while FC Ingolstadt 04 shut them out 17% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.3%, then 1-2 at 9.2% and 0-1 at 7.3%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time MSV Duisburg, full-time MSV Duisburg is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.
Every market for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
FC Ingolstadt 04 to win30%2.99
Draw25%3.48
MSV Duisburg to win46%2.07
FC Ingolstadt 04, draw no bet39%fair 2.54
MSV Duisburg, draw no bet61%fair 1.65
Double chance
FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw55%1.61
MSV Duisburg or draw70%1.30
FC Ingolstadt 04 or MSV Duisburg (no draw)75%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals62%1.51
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.53
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.78
Under 2.5 goals38%2.26
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.65
BTTS
Both teams to score64%1.47
Not both teams to score36%2.47
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.38
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
FC Ingolstadt 04 to score76%fair 1.32
MSV Duisburg to score83%fair 1.20
FC Ingolstadt 04 clean sheet17%fair 5.92
MSV Duisburg clean sheet24%fair 4.10
FC Ingolstadt 04 to win to nil16%fair 6.45
MSV Duisburg to win to nil23%fair 4.44
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.3%
1-29.2%
0-17.3%
2-17.3%
0-26.5%
2-26.5%
Half-time / full-time
MSV Duisburg / MSV Duisburg28.6%
FC Ingolstadt 04 / FC Ingolstadt 0417.9%
Draw / MSV Duisburg14.6%
Draw / Draw12.4%
Draw / FC Ingolstadt 0410.4%
Questions about FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?
The model gives MSV Duisburg the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?
The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. FC Ingolstadt 04 find the net in 76% of simulated matches and MSV Duisburg in 83%.
What time does FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg kick off?
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg starts at 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.