Erovnuli Liga
RustaviHomeLWWLD
Sat 7 Nov
SamguraliAwayLWWLD512524
Rustavi winDrawSamgurali win
RustaviHomeLWWLDSamguraliAwayLWWLD- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.64 1.60 : 1.04
- Favourite
- 51% Rustavi
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Rustavi vs Samgurali
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Rustavi vs Samgurali yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
51%
Our prediction
Rustavi to win
1.98fair
Double chanceRustavi or draw
76% chance1.32fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.96fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.94fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Rustavi, full-time Rustavi
31% chance3.25fair
Rustavi vs Samgurali prediction
Rustavi vs Samgurali prediction and best bet
Rustavi vs Samgurali prediction for the Erovnuli Liga on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Rustavi a narrow favourite at 51%, with the draw at 25% and Samgurali at 25%.
The goal expectancy is 2.64 in total, split 1.60 to Rustavi and 1.04 to Samgurali. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is rustavi to win at 51%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Rustavi or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance.
Form check: Rustavi have won 2 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 7 conceded, Samgurali 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 6.
How many goals in Rustavi vs Samgurali? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 49%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%.
BTTS yes stands at 52%. Rustavi score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for Samgurali; Samgurali score in 65% while Rustavi shut them out 35% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%, followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
With the top scoreline at 11.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Rustavi vs Samgurali; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Rustavi, full-time Rustavi leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Rustavi vs Samgurali
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 51% / 25% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Rustavi to win51%fair 1.98
Draw25%fair 4.00
Samgurali to win25%fair 4.08
Rustavi, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Samgurali, draw no bet33%fair 3.06
Double chance
Rustavi or draw76%fair 1.32
Samgurali or draw50%fair 2.02
Rustavi or Samgurali (no draw)75%fair 1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%fair 2.04
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Under 2.5 goals51%fair 1.96
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score52%fair 1.94
Not both teams to score49%fair 2.06
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.00
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31
Team goals
Rustavi to score80%fair 1.25
Samgurali to score65%fair 1.55
Rustavi clean sheet35%fair 2.83
Samgurali clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Rustavi to win to nil33%fair 3.08
Samgurali to win to nil19%fair 5.38
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
1-011.4%
2-19.5%
2-09.1%
0-17.4%
0-07.1%
Half-time / full-time
Rustavi / Rustavi30.8%
Draw / Rustavi17%
Draw / Draw15.3%
Samgurali / Samgurali13.8%
Draw / Samgurali9.4%
Questions about Rustavi vs Samgurali
Who will win Rustavi vs Samgurali?
The model gives Rustavi the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Rustavi vs Samgurali correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Rustavi vs Samgurali?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Rustavi find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Samgurali in 65%.
When is Rustavi vs Samgurali and where is the result shown?
Rustavi vs Samgurali starts at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.