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Live 23 UTC
FA Trophy 1/128-finals Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Needham MarketHomeDLWL
0:2Half-time 0:1
Wingate & FinchleyAwayWWDLW
462331
Needham Market winDrawWingate & Finchley win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.46
1.92 : 1.54
Favourite
46%
Needham Market
Over 2.5 goals
67%
model chance
Both teams to score
68%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.993.822.921.402.561.392.73Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Needham Market to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley prediction: Needham Market 1.99 (1xBet), draw 3.82 (1xBet), Wingate & Finchley 2.92 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.40 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.56 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.39 (1xBet) and no 2.73 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

77%

Our prediction

Needham Market or Wingate & Finchley (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.92 : 1.54-9.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.40
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.39
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance10.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Needham Market, full-time Needham Market
29% chance3.42fair
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.27fair

Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley odds movement

Needham Market win1.99-0.08
Draw3.82-0.18
Wingate & Finchley win2.92-0.13
Over 2.5 goals1.40-0.04
Under 2.5 goals2.56-0.06

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley prediction

Our Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley prediction and pick

The Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley prediction leans to Needham Market: 46% against 31% for Wingate & Finchley, with 23% left for the draw, in the FA Trophy on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.46 in total, split 1.92 to Needham Market and 1.54 to Wingate & Finchley. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 67% and both teams to score 68%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley is needham Market or Wingate & Finchley (no draw), a 77% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.18 at 1xBet, which implies 85%, so the model sits 8 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley.

Over the last 4 matches Needham Market stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Wingate & Finchley show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley reads 86% for over 1.5, 67% for over 2.5 and 46% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 33%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.40 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 68%. Needham Market score in 85% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for Wingate & Finchley; Wingate & Finchley score in 79% while Needham Market shut them out 21% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley: 1-1 (9.3%), 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.2%).

With the top scoreline at 9.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Needham Market, full-time Needham Market leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley

The grid built from 1.92 and 1.54 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Needham Market to win46%1.99
Draw23%3.82
Wingate & Finchley to win31%2.92
Needham Market, draw no bet60%fair 1.67
Wingate & Finchley, draw no bet40%fair 2.49

Double chance

Needham Market or draw69%1.31
Wingate & Finchley or draw54%1.65
Needham Market or Wingate & Finchley (no draw)77%1.18

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.40
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.20
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.75
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.14
Under 2.5 goals33%2.56
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.83

BTTS

Both teams to score68%1.39
Not both teams to score32%2.73

Halves

First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.17
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18

Team goals

Needham Market to score85%fair 1.17
Wingate & Finchley to score79%fair 1.27
Needham Market clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Wingate & Finchley clean sheet15%fair 6.80
Needham Market to win to nil20%fair 5.08
Wingate & Finchley to win to nil14%fair 7.41

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.3%
2-18.9%
1-27.2%
2-26.9%
1-06%
2-05.8%

Half-time / full-time

Needham Market / Needham Market29.2%
Wingate & Finchley / Wingate & Finchley18.4%
Draw / Needham Market14.2%
Draw / Draw11.3%
Draw / Wingate & Finchley10.2%

Questions about Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley

Who is favourite in Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley?

The model gives Needham Market the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.

Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. Needham Market find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Wingate & Finchley in 79%.

When is Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley and where is the result shown?

Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Needham Market v Wingate & FinchleyNeedham Market or Wingate & Finchley (no draw), 77%
1.18Bet