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Live 29 UTC
FA Trophy 1/128-finals Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Mickleover SportsHomeLDL
1:2Half-time 1:0
Alfreton TownAwayWW
332245
Mickleover Sports winDrawAlfreton Town win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.15
1.43 : 1.72
Favourite
45%
Alfreton Town
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
63%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.043.781.951.562.221.502.38Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Alfreton Town to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town are 3.04 for Mickleover Sports at 1xBet, 3.78 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.95 for Alfreton Town at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.56 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.22 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (1xBet) and no 2.38 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

78%

Our prediction

Mickleover Sports or Alfreton Town (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.43 : 1.72-7.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.56
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Alfreton Town, full-time Alfreton Town
27% chance3.66fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.32fair

Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town odds movement

Mickleover Sports win3.04-0.01
Draw3.78-0.07
Alfreton Town win1.95-0.13
Over 2.5 goals1.56-0.04
Under 2.5 goals2.22-0.08

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town prediction

Our Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town prediction and pick

Mickleover Sports host Alfreton Town on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the FA Trophy, and the model has Alfreton Town at 45%, the draw at 22% and Mickleover Sports at 33%: that is the Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.15 in total, split 1.43 to Mickleover Sports and 1.72 to Alfreton Town. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 63%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Mickleover Sports or Alfreton Town (no draw) is the main selection, rated 78%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.19. That price implies 84%, 6 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 40% and under 3.5 61%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 60%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.56 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 63%. Mickleover Sports score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Alfreton Town; Alfreton Town score in 82% while Mickleover Sports shut them out 18% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%, followed by 1-2 (9.1%) and 2-1 (7.5%).

With the top scoreline at 10.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Alfreton Town, full-time Alfreton Town leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town

The grid built from 1.43 and 1.72 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Mickleover Sports to win33%3.04
Draw22%3.78
Alfreton Town to win45%1.95
Mickleover Sports, draw no bet42%fair 2.39
Alfreton Town, draw no bet58%fair 1.72

Double chance

Mickleover Sports or draw55%1.68
Alfreton Town or draw68%1.29
Mickleover Sports or Alfreton Town (no draw)78%1.19

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.56
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.59
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.74
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 2.5 goals40%2.22
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.63

BTTS

Both teams to score63%1.50
Not both teams to score37%2.38

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Mickleover Sports to score76%fair 1.31
Alfreton Town to score82%fair 1.22
Mickleover Sports clean sheet18%fair 5.59
Alfreton Town clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Mickleover Sports to win to nil17%fair 6.06
Alfreton Town to win to nil22%fair 4.55

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
1-29.1%
2-17.5%
0-17.4%
2-26.5%
0-26.3%

Half-time / full-time

Alfreton Town / Alfreton Town27.3%
Mickleover Sports / Mickleover Sports18.8%
Draw / Alfreton Town14.3%
Draw / Draw12.7%
Draw / Mickleover Sports10.9%

Questions about Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town

Who is favourite in Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town?

The model gives Alfreton Town the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 22%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Mickleover Sports find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Alfreton Town in 82%.

When do Mickleover Sports play Alfreton Town?

Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Mickleover Sports v Alfreton TownMickleover Sports or Alfreton Town (no draw), 78%
1.19Bet