Faversham Town vs Newmarket prediction

Faversham Town vs Newmarket prediction, who wins and at what price

Faversham Town vs Newmarket prediction for the FA Trophy on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Faversham Town a narrow favourite at 53%, with the draw at 20% and Newmarket at 27%.

The goal expectancy is 3.95 in total, split 2.32 to Faversham Town and 1.63 to Newmarket. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 75% and both teams to score 72%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is faversham Town to win at 53%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

For a safer line, faversham Town or Newmarket (no draw) covers 80% of outcomes.

The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Faversham Town vs Newmarket over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 91%, over 2.5 at 75%, over 3.5 at 56%; under 2.5 is 25% and under 3.5 is 44%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 75%.

Both teams to score is 72%: Faversham Town find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Newmarket in 80%. Faversham Town keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Newmarket 10%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 72%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Faversham Town vs Newmarket: 2-1 (8.4%), 1-1 (7.3%) and 2-2 (6.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Faversham Town, full-time Faversham Town is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 83%.