Erith TownHomeDD
Burgess Hill TownAwayLWD
Erith TownHomeDD
Burgess Hill TownAwayLWDNo bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Erith Town vs Burgess Hill Town yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
Our prediction
Erith Town vs Burgess Hill Town prediction for the FA Trophy on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model calls it close, Erith Town 40%, draw 22%, Burgess Hill Town 38%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
The goal expectancy is 3.52 in total, split 1.78 to Erith Town and 1.74 to Burgess Hill Town. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 68% and both teams to score 68%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Erith Town or Burgess Hill Town (no draw) is the main selection, rated 78%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 53%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%.
Both teams to score is 68%: Erith Town find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Burgess Hill Town in 82%. Erith Town keep a clean sheet 18% of the time and Burgess Hill Town 17%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.2%, then 2-1 at 8.2% and 1-2 at 8%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Erith Town, full-time Erith Town leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Erith Town vs Burgess Hill Town, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Erith Town the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 22%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 68%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. Erith Town find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Burgess Hill Town in 82%.
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.