FA Cup
Burton AlbionHomeLDDWL
Sat 7 Nov
AFC Rushden & DiamondsAwayWWW8794
Burton Albion winDrawAFC Rushden & Diamonds win
Burton AlbionHomeLDDWLAFC Rushden & DiamondsAwayWWW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.57 3.07 : 0.50
- Favourite
- 87% Burton Albion
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.11 | 8.30 | 18.50 | 1.39 | 2.59 | 2.38 | 1.52 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.11 | 8.30 | 18.50 | 1.39 | 2.59 | 2.38 | 1.52 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.11 | 8.30 | 18.50 | 1.39 | 2.59 | 2.38 | 1.52 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Burton Albion to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds prediction: Burton Albion 1.11 (22Bet), draw 8.30 (22Bet), AFC Rushden & Diamonds 18.50 (22Bet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.39 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.59 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.38 (22Bet) and no 1.52 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
87%
Our prediction
Burton Albion to win
Double chanceBurton Albion or draw
96% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.39
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.52
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 3-0
14% chance7.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Burton Albion, full-time Burton Albion
65% chance1.53fair
Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds prediction
Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds prediction and best bet
The Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds prediction leans to Burton Albion: 87% against 4% for AFC Rushden & Diamonds, with 9% left for the draw, in the FA Cup on Saturday, 7 November 2026.
Burton Albion are expected to score 3.07 and AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0.50, so the total line is 3.57 goals; over 2.5 lands at 67% and BTTS at 39%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is burton Albion to win at 87%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.11. That price implies 90%, 3 points over the model figure.
Burton Albion or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 96% chance, priced -.
The draw sits at only 9%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Burton Albion average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2.3 and 1.0 across 3.
Goals forecast for Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 87%, over 2.5 at 67%, over 3.5 at 48%; under 2.5 is 33% and under 3.5 is 52%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 22Bet pay 1.39.
BTTS yes stands at 39%. Burton Albion score in 95% of simulations against a 5% clean sheet for AFC Rushden & Diamonds; AFC Rushden & Diamonds score in 39% while Burton Albion shut them out 61% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
The most likely scoreline is 3-0 at 13.6%, followed by 2-0 (13.3%) and 4-0 (10.4%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Burton Albion, full-time Burton Albion is the top combination at 65%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.
Every market for Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 87% / 9% / 4% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Burton Albion to win87%1.11
Draw9%8.30
AFC Rushden & Diamonds to win4%18.50
Burton Albion, draw no bet96%fair 1.04
AFC Rushden & Diamonds, draw no bet4%fair 23.81
Double chance
Burton Albion or draw96%-
AFC Rushden & Diamonds or draw13%5.73
Burton Albion or AFC Rushden & Diamonds (no draw)91%1.05
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals67%1.39
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.10
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.48
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.69
Under 2.5 goals33%2.59
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.91
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.38
Not both teams to score61%1.52
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.10
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
Burton Albion to score95%fair 1.05
AFC Rushden & Diamonds to score39%fair 2.54
Burton Albion clean sheet61%fair 1.65
AFC Rushden & Diamonds clean sheet5%fair 21.74
Burton Albion to win to nil56%fair 1.79
AFC Rushden & Diamonds to win to nil4%fair 28.57
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
3-013.6%
2-013.3%
4-010.4%
1-08.6%
3-16.8%
2-16.6%
Half-time / full-time
Burton Albion / Burton Albion65.2%
Draw / Burton Albion19.6%
Draw / Draw5.7%
AFC Rushden & Diamonds / Burton Albion2.4%
AFC Rushden & Diamonds / AFC Rushden & Diamonds1.8%
Questions about Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Burton Albion or AFC Rushden & Diamonds: which side does the model back?
The model gives Burton Albion the best chance at 87%, with the draw at 9%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds correct score: what does the model say?
3-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Burton Albion find the net in 95% of simulated matches and AFC Rushden & Diamonds in 39%.
What time does Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds kick off?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.