Skip to the predictions
Live 11 UTC
FA Cup 1/128-finals Monday, 9 November 2026 Kick-off
Plymouth ParkwayHomeWLWW
Mon 9 Nov
BerkhamstedAwayWWWWL
412435
Plymouth Parkway winDrawBerkhamsted win
Kick-off
Mon 9 Nov
Expected goals
3.01
1.57 : 1.44
Favourite
41%
Plymouth Parkway
Over 2.5 goals
58%
model chance
Both teams to score
61%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

Best odds for Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet2.303.702.651.632.141.562.30Bet
Betwinner2.303.702.651.632.141.562.30Bet
Melbet2.303.702.651.632.141.562.30Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Plymouth Parkway to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted prediction: Plymouth Parkway 2.30 (Melbet), draw 3.70 (Melbet), Berkhamsted 2.65 (Melbet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.63 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.14 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (Melbet) and no 2.30 (Melbet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

76%

Our prediction

Plymouth Parkway or Berkhamsted (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.57 : 1.44-6.9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.63
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Plymouth Parkway, full-time Plymouth Parkway
25% chance4.08fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair

Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted prediction

Our Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted prediction and pick

Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted prediction for the FA Cup on Monday, 9 November 2026: the model calls it close, Plymouth Parkway 41%, draw 24%, Berkhamsted 35%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Plymouth Parkway are expected to score 1.57 and Berkhamsted 1.44, so the total line is 3.01 goals; over 2.5 lands at 58% and BTTS at 61%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is plymouth Parkway or Berkhamsted (no draw) at 76%. At 1.23 with 22Bet the market prices it at 81%, against 76% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Plymouth Parkway average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 4, Berkhamsted 2.4 and 1.0 across 5.

Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 42% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 58%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; Melbet pay 1.63.

BTTS yes stands at 61%. Plymouth Parkway score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Berkhamsted; Berkhamsted score in 76% while Plymouth Parkway shut them out 24% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted: 1-1 (11.1%), 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Plymouth Parkway, full-time Plymouth Parkway is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

All markets, Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted

The grid built from 1.57 and 1.44 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Plymouth Parkway to win41%2.30
Draw24%3.70
Berkhamsted to win35%2.65
Plymouth Parkway, draw no bet54%fair 1.86
Berkhamsted, draw no bet46%fair 2.17

Double chance

Plymouth Parkway or draw65%1.42
Berkhamsted or draw59%1.54
Plymouth Parkway or Berkhamsted (no draw)76%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals58%1.63
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.82
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.38
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.05
Under 2.5 goals42%2.14
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55

BTTS

Both teams to score61%1.56
Not both teams to score39%2.30

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.55
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Plymouth Parkway to score79%fair 1.26
Berkhamsted to score76%fair 1.31
Plymouth Parkway clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Berkhamsted clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Plymouth Parkway to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Berkhamsted to win to nil19%fair 5.24

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
2-18.7%
1-28%
1-07.7%
0-17.1%
2-26.3%

Half-time / full-time

Plymouth Parkway / Plymouth Parkway24.5%
Berkhamsted / Berkhamsted20.7%
Draw / Plymouth Parkway13.6%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Draw / Berkhamsted12%

Questions about Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted

Who is favourite in Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted?

The model gives Plymouth Parkway the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 24%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted?

The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Plymouth Parkway find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Berkhamsted in 76%.

When is Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 19:30 UTC on Monday, 9 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Plymouth Parkway v BerkhamstedPlymouth Parkway or Berkhamsted (no draw), 76%
1.23Bet