Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town prediction

Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town prediction, who wins and at what price

Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town prediction for the FA Cup on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Crawley Town the clear favourite at 66%, with the draw at 19% and Wimborne Town at 15%.

Expected goals are 1.00 for Wimborne Town and 2.27 for Crawley Town, a total of 3.27, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 57%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is crawley Town to win at 66%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.44. That price implies 69%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town.

For a safer line, crawley Town or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.10.

With the draw down at 19%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Wimborne Town stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Crawley Town show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.47 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 57%: Wimborne Town find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Crawley Town in 90%. Wimborne Town keep a clean sheet 10% of the time and Crawley Town 37%.

Correct score: 0-2 leads at 9.8%, then 1-2 at 9.8% and 0-1 at 8.6%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Crawley Town, full-time Crawley Town is the top combination at 44%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.