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Live 23 UTC
FA Cup 1/128-finals Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
EastleighHomeLWWLD
Sat 7 Nov
ShrewsburyAwayWWDWL
272548
Eastleigh winDrawShrewsbury win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.88
1.20 : 1.68
Favourite
48%
Shrewsbury
Over 2.5 goals
55%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet3.523.621.961.742.021.622.16Bet
Betwinner3.523.621.961.742.021.622.16Bet
Melbet3.523.621.961.742.021.622.16Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Shrewsbury to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Eastleigh price at 3.52, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.62 and 22Bet have Shrewsbury longest at 1.96.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.74 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.02 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (22Bet) and no 2.16 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

Eastleigh or Shrewsbury (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.20 : 1.68-5.6% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.62
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Shrewsbury, full-time Shrewsbury
30% chance3.34fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.38fair

Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury prediction

Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury prediction, who wins and at what price

Eastleigh host Shrewsbury on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the FA Cup, and the model has Shrewsbury at 48%, the draw at 25% and Eastleigh at 27%: that is the Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.88 in total, split 1.20 to Eastleigh and 1.68 to Shrewsbury. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 58%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is eastleigh or Shrewsbury (no draw) at 75%. At 1.26 with 22Bet the market prices it at 79%, against 75% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Eastleigh have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 9 conceded, Shrewsbury 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 8.

How many goals in Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury reads 78% for over 1.5, 55% for over 2.5 and 33% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 45%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.74 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Eastleigh scoring in 70% of runs and Shrewsbury in 81%; clean sheets come at 19% for Eastleigh and 30% for Shrewsbury.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.3%, then 1-2 at 9.5% and 0-1 at 9.4%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Shrewsbury, full-time Shrewsbury leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Eastleigh to win27%3.52
Draw25%3.62
Shrewsbury to win48%1.96
Eastleigh, draw no bet36%fair 2.79
Shrewsbury, draw no bet64%fair 1.56

Double chance

Eastleigh or draw52%1.78
Shrewsbury or draw73%1.27
Eastleigh or Shrewsbury (no draw)75%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.74
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 2.5 goals45%2.02
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.48

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.62
Not both teams to score42%2.16

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.69
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26

Team goals

Eastleigh to score70%fair 1.43
Shrewsbury to score81%fair 1.23
Eastleigh clean sheet19%fair 5.38
Shrewsbury clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Eastleigh to win to nil17%fair 5.85
Shrewsbury to win to nil28%fair 3.61

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
1-29.5%
0-19.4%
0-27.9%
2-16.8%
1-06.7%

Half-time / full-time

Shrewsbury / Shrewsbury29.9%
Draw / Shrewsbury15.9%
Eastleigh / Eastleigh15.6%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Draw / Eastleigh9.9%

Questions about Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury

Eastleigh or Shrewsbury: which side does the model back?

The model gives Shrewsbury the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 55%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Eastleigh find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Shrewsbury in 81%.

When is Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury and where is the result shown?

Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury starts at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Eastleigh v ShrewsburyEastleigh or Shrewsbury (no draw), 75%
1.26Bet