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Live 23 UTC
FA Cup 1/128-finals Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
DoverHomeWWW
Sat 7 Nov
WealdstoneAwayLWWLW
322444
Dover winDrawWealdstone win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.13
1.44 : 1.69
Favourite
43%
Wealdstone
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
63%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

Best odds for Dover vs Wealdstone

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet2.953.782.171.592.271.502.42Bet
Betwinner2.953.782.171.592.271.502.42Bet
Melbet2.953.782.171.592.271.502.42Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Wealdstone to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Dover price at 2.95, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.78 and 22Bet have Wealdstone longest at 2.17.

The best-price payout across the three results is 94%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.59 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.27 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (22Bet) and no 2.42 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

76%

Our prediction

Dover or Wealdstone (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.44 : 1.69-5.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.59
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Wealdstone, full-time Wealdstone
27% chance3.76fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.32fair

Dover vs Wealdstone prediction

Dover vs Wealdstone prediction, who wins and at what price

Wealdstone are marginally ahead in the Dover vs Wealdstone prediction, rated 43% to win this FA Cup match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Dover sit at 32% and the draw at 24%.

The goal expectancy is 3.13 in total, split 1.44 to Dover and 1.69 to Wealdstone. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 63%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is dover or Wealdstone (no draw) at 76%. At 1.25 with Betwinner the market prices it at 80%, against 76% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Dover average 3.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded across their last 3, Wealdstone 1.8 and 2.2 across 5.

Dover vs Wealdstone over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 60%, over 3.5 at 38%; under 2.5 is 40% and under 3.5 is 62%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; 22Bet pay 1.59.

The chance of both teams scoring is 63%, built from Dover scoring in 76% of runs and Wealdstone in 82%; clean sheets come at 19% for Dover and 24% for Wealdstone.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.6%, then 1-2 at 9% and 2-1 at 7.7%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Wealdstone, full-time Wealdstone is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

All markets, Dover vs Wealdstone

The grid built from 1.44 and 1.69 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Dover to win32%2.95
Draw24%3.78
Wealdstone to win43%2.17
Dover, draw no bet43%fair 2.34
Wealdstone, draw no bet57%fair 1.75

Double chance

Dover or draw57%1.66
Wealdstone or draw68%1.38
Dover or Wealdstone (no draw)76%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.59
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.62
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 2.5 goals40%2.27
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62

BTTS

Both teams to score63%1.50
Not both teams to score37%2.42

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.43
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Dover to score76%fair 1.31
Wealdstone to score82%fair 1.23
Dover clean sheet19%fair 5.41
Wealdstone clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Dover to win to nil17%fair 5.88
Wealdstone to win to nil22%fair 4.59

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
1-29%
2-17.7%
0-17.4%
2-26.5%
1-06.3%

Half-time / full-time

Wealdstone / Wealdstone26.6%
Dover / Dover19.3%
Draw / Wealdstone14.1%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Draw / Dover11.2%

Questions about Dover vs Wealdstone

Who is favourite in Dover vs Wealdstone?

The model gives Wealdstone the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 24%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Dover vs Wealdstone?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Dover vs Wealdstone both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Dover find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Wealdstone in 82%.

When is Dover vs Wealdstone and where is the result shown?

Dover vs Wealdstone starts at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Dover v WealdstoneDover or Wealdstone (no draw), 76%
1.25Bet